the butterfly effect of 1OOT vs MIBR in VCT 2023 is wild no lie
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important matches in vct history
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Northeption vs Full Sense 2021 APAC LCQ Grand Final: https://www.vlr.gg/43120/northeption-vs-full-sense-champions-tour-asia-pacific-last-chance-qualifier-gf
- TENNN and SugarZero might not have moved to ZETA -> 2022 ZETA Reykjavík run
- Meiy and Astell might not have moved to CR -> DFM
- Seoldam wouldn't have take a break, serious about valo, not play APEX and not washed.
- Northeption could've been the biggest JP org should they kept these 5 players at the time and got in to partnership instead of DFM.
- Meteor wouldn't have debut for Northeption -> Masters Copenhagen -> move to GenG ->T1
VKS vs Gambit on champions 2021. If VKS scored one of the SEVEN match points they had on the third map, they would've taken Gambit's spot on seed 1 on the group. Considering Gambit would pass anyway on seed 2 and the draw would be the same, we would have Acend vs Gambit, the final matchup, on quarter-finals, which could change the entire podium (and if VKS went far ahead enough to win, we wouldn't have Loud 2022 and Sentinels 2024)
Theoretically, mibr loses to 100t. C9 make playoffs (only other logical option would be lev/furia, but c9 were on the hot seat). Tokyo teams are loud, nrg, and c9. Loud either lose to c9 and still bomb out (although it would be much closer than vs eg) or narrowly beat c9 and face tl. They would most likely lose to tl, again a close match, and face nrg lower bracket, where they would get knocked out. On the off chance loud beats tl, they would lose to fnc, and lose in lowers to prx. If c9 beat loud, they would face tl, which i think would be a very 50/50 match (both teams were on a run). C9 either lose to liquid and lose to nrg in lowers, or if they beat liquid they lose to fnc and prx in lowers. If c9 lose to loud, they would either narrowly beat edg in lowers and lose to prx, or just get straight elimmed by edg. Only overall difference is 2nd place for tokyo is either nrg, prx, or maybe even edg instead of eg.
For champs, eg could either win lcq and the teams would be loud, nrg, c9, and eg for champs, or kru still wins lcq and the teams are loud, nrg, c9, and kru. If eg make champs (through lcq), they would play in kru's spot, and either narrowly make it out in first seed where they would beat fut in playoffs, and either barely beat loud, where they would go on an upper bracket run to win champs, or lose to loud, where they would probably beat edg, and face fnc. If eg beat fnc in lowers, they continue their lower bracket run, where they face either loud/prx in either lowers or grand finals, where they would probably win (in reality they faced loud lowers and prx uppers and won both). If eg beat loud in uppers, the upper final match would most likely be eg vs prx (as prx would have taken edg's spot), resulting in a very similar result to what actually happened. If eg finished second in groups, they face either fut/t1 r1 in uppers, beating them, then face drx, who they would also beat, resulting in a very similar result where uppers and grand is eg vs prx. If somehow edg doesnt make champs through lcq, prx would either go through an upper bracket run, where they would either win or lose to loud in grand finals. In terms of what it means for c9, they either beat edg, and then lose to drx and fnc, or lose to edg, beat blg and lose to loud.
I can't really predict what this means for the offseason, as already this was broad speculations, but it was at least based off of performances. In the end, the only difference would really be prx or loud would have been slightly more likely to win champs, and if eg loses the champs curse doesnt strike and we see a mid version of 2023 eg in 2024.
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