DRX realistic chances of winning??

#1

tochii

They are very deserving of a LAN win. Havent they appeared at every LAN tourney (including there time as Vision Strikers)

#2

Perma

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then kru should be here

#8

MourninggStarr

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difference is DRX made it out of groups almost all the time, kru got grouped a few times

#3

not5kin

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they did not appear at reykjavik unfortunately. kru is the only team to have appeared at every LAN

#4

number1_ScreaM_fan

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yes but in that aspect kru is the kings of valorant

#9

tochii

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Yes but drx has made it further then kru almost every time

#5

AntiWest

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if thats the case then Kru deserve to win a trophy as well

#6

capital_d_colon

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Not at Reykjavik 2021

#7

jimjam789

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quite slim, but not impossible

#10

pitchfork

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just think abt it, lower bracket fpx vs lower bracket drx

they both had momentum

#11

KoreanOverlord

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These probabilities are dependent on my personal opinion of the matchup, not according to opposing team strength. For example, I believe Optic is a better team than Loud, but stylistically Optic matches up better for DRX than Loud.

vs FPX 57%
vs Optic 52%
vs Loud 50%

Probability of winning tournament: 14.82%

#13

KoreanOverlord

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Also I'm heavily biased, so remove 10% to the final prediction and voila

4.82% chance to win it all!

#12

Dybala21

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It's not about participate in LAN tournaments. It's about do they have what it takes to become Champions?

#14

annoybrocc02

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imo it's like 30-40%

#15

AcePro

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0 they will choke against FPX

#16

KoreanOverlord

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can we stop this choke narrative? they just beat fnatic

#21

Sprouts

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4/4 in OT wins and top 4 secured but mfs still hold on to the choke narrative

#34

arriB

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Fnatic choked even harder.

#35

danii1

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Fnatic got 1v3'd and 1v2'd on ascent.

#37

AcePro

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Still choked!

#27

hiimnsk

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They just reverse sweeper fnatic being doen 4-8 in second map. Let it go

#36

AcePro

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But they choked!

#38

hiimnsk

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choked what?

#39

AcePro

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your mom

#17

acels1

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i think winner of optic loud wins

#18

archetype

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their run ends at FPX tbh. i just don't see them beating any of the remaining teams

#19

SourceAvocado

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😭🫡
It will take a Miracle. 🙏

#23

KoreanOverlord

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why do u think that? I just dont agree

last time I admitted we had no chance against FPX on rematch because of a variety of circumstances

FPX played with a sub, meaning they were basically pugging strats versus DRX in groups, and in playoffs they got suygetsu, changing their entire comp and playstyle
FPX managed to play the entire bo3, saw all 3 maps
DRX were known to choke in lower bracket semis, probably shook their mental

~~4. DRX played the day before and was on a b2b~~

DRX actually changed their ascent comp mid tournament

now lets look at the circumstances for champions

FPX played with suygetsu, even if they antistrat vs drx they cant be changing everything up like with seider
FPX played DRX and while it was close on ascent, they got stomped on breeze
FPX didnt get to play against DRX's 3rd map
2 days of rest in between
DRX mappool isnt as shit as last time, they can play ascent and keep it competitive, they can also play fracture breeze haven and FPX need's to ban two of the 3

To me DRX has multiple win conditions now, not only one. Either they just win it out on ascent again, or they beat them on icebox or pearl.

Fuck the more Im reading what I wrote and writing, the more Im starting to get worried for DRX lol

#26

juraf

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last time drx got 5 days of prep, while FPX played the day before, the other stuff is def true tho

#29

archetype

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HAHA DO YOU SEE WHAT I MEAN THO

#30

KoreanOverlord

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Yeah its fucked

In termi argency glow we trust

#20

ragnar28

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Minimal chances considering past record.

#22

SourceAvocado

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Haven been looking Shaky, Icebox is not looking good, Bind is a Toss Up, Ascent Is a Toss Up,
Pearl Unknown, Fracture is FPX Map, Breeze Is DRX Map.

#24

KoreanOverlord

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Haven - DRXWIN
Icebox - Toss up lean FPX
Bind - Toss up lean DRX
Ascent - Toss up lean DRX
Pearl - FPXWIN
Fracture - Tossup
Breeze - DRXWIN

fuck man, fpx just feel like they have our number, especially after they know breeze is a permaban now

#25

trola

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they beat FPX twice, its not impossible at all

#28

Kepin

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25%

All teams have equal chances.

#31

RedHood14

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FPX looks scary when it comes to rematch, but after DRX finally breaking double curse, it could be different. Hope it's either Loud or DRX so there is no team that become champions twice

#32

titanwithpp

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If we don't talk about DRX's chances of winning all the time, they might actually be high.

#33

Mjtchell

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They werent at the first one instead Nuturn was #1 KR and VS was #2