Anguibok
Flag: North Korea
Registered: December 21, 2022
Last post: December 1, 2025 at 3:44 AM
Posts: 5938
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Oh girl...

posted 8 months ago

No bet on next games ? Keep in mind the bet stop when the first game start :c

posted 8 months ago

My job <3 Y'oure welcome

posted 8 months ago

You bet only on those 2 games ? After the first game is played you will not be able to bet on any other game, are you sure you dont want to be on the other one ?

posted 8 months ago

You bet only on those 2 games ? After the first game is played you will not be able to bet on any other game

posted 8 months ago

You are allowed to do this, no worry (But pleese bet only integer :c)

posted 8 months ago

You put both VIT and G2 2nd, are you sure ?

posted 8 months ago

Good change, it's good at least the 3 Americans region will have at least one slot, and the last one go to the best one. I just hope in a near future we will go to 16 teams, but for that we will need to wait feminine val develop Pacific

posted 8 months ago

No bet on the other games ? And on the and 3rd place ?

posted 8 months ago

After 4 years, so basically between 2026 and 2027 things will be review, a lot of things may happen, they are many possibilities that are possible :

  • No structural change, only some change in the franchise team, like EG replaced by G2 for example
  • Change of number of Ascension team in each continental region, Leo Faria has say if we would do franchise today, he would probably put more ascension team, I wouldn't be surprised if in near future we would have 3 ascension team and only 9 partner (or maybe 8/12, but that doesn't sound possible in APAC, where they are already region that isnt represented in T1, and almost big marked have only 1 team, beside JP and KR that you basically cant reduce because it's too popular)
  • Creation of a new T1 region : With APAC having more hype in premier, a huge development in KR Val (More KR team in premier than NA), India developing, the war being over in Ukraine meaning CIS team might come back, MENA, Oceania and VN having no T1 team, they are a room for a 5th region, basically probably for split between Asia (SEA, SA, Middle East, either CIS or TR and Subsaharaia [lol]) and Pacific (KR, JP, OCE), with that change it will become possible to drastically reduce the number franchised team and augment the partner team
  • Enlargement of number of team in the 4 continental T1 (16 teams would make some things easier for kickoff and give a little bit more game in regular season, but I don't really trust it)
posted 8 months ago

heheh queen taking her crown back :3

posted 8 months ago

Oh, basicallly the idea here, is just to keep the same point to the structure, so yeah if they are a lot of change then it may become a little bit innacurrate, but it's rare for a team that go from worst to best by just recruiting tnew player, and no system can ever be precise with that kind of change ^^

posted 8 months ago

My pleasure ^-^

posted 8 months ago

The odd where generated by an ELO system that didn't receive any reset (So last year games count), the ELO system gives a percent of chance of win in every matchup. I had to calculate every possibility (For exemple they are 36% of chance than EDG win the winner bracket and G2 and VIT meet each other in final of looser bracket.), then boom, you have the datas, The odd for G2 and VIT last place are really weird so I kinda suspect a mistake from me (I had the idea at 3am T.T)

posted 8 months ago

Hi vlr, today a short topic about prediction for vlr, you know, I’ve made ELObot, and I used it for giving odd and make a little contest. Today I wanted to give you the probability of winning for the 6 last potential matchup and check every possibility and every outcome possible. It’s the occasion to make a little « Bet on odd » contest that you all can plan without putting any money

2 first games

  • [1,26] EDG T1 [4,79] (EDG 79 %)
  • [1,66] G2 VIT [2,49] (G2 59 %)

Other potential matchup

  • [1,34] G2 T1 [3,88] (G2 74 %)
  • [1,5] EDG VIT [2,97] (EDG 66 %)
  • [1,52] VIT T1 [2,92] (VIT 65 %)
  • [1,75] EDG G2 [2,31] (EDG 56 %)

You can bet maximum 100 on every odd. You can bet on the 6 odds, If they are a rematch, I count your bet on both game, and not only on the first matchup, so if you bet T1 win verus EDG and it occur twice, and once EDG win, and another time T1 win, then that mean you bet 200 and loose 100 on EDG win, and win 379 with T1 win, so basiccaly +279.

The other thing you can bet on is the final ranking on each team (100 max) :

EDG  :

  • 1st [2,00] ( 50 % )
  • 2nd [3,50] ( 29 % )
  • 3rd [7,58] ( 13 % )
  • 4th [12,01] ( 8 % )

G2  :

  • 1st [3,86] ( 26 % )
  • 2nd [3,73] ( 27 % )
  • 3rd [3,86] ( 26 % )
  • 4th [4,67] ( 21 % )

VIT  :

  • 1st [5,22] ( 19 % )
  • 2nd [3,26] ( 31 % )
  • 3rd [2,75] ( 36 % )
  • 4th [7,27] ( 14 % )

T1  :

  • 1st [19,69] ( 5 % )
  • 2nd [7,21] ( 14 % )
  • 3rd [4,08] ( 25 % )
  • 4th [1,77] ( 57 % )

GL to everyone !

posted 9 months ago

5 year, when India become a little bit stronger

posted 9 months ago

You are my best ally here <3

Sometimes I feel I am the Queen of midpopular opinion, i'm like +2 --> 0 --> -2 --> +1 on a lot of post XD wish sounds kinda rare

posted 9 months ago

Why so, if you don't need more money to be happy, why spend it ? Personally, the only thing I would do with a lot of money is, buy a house, and maybe buy sometime fast food to not having to cook, and keep the rest of money for security in case of problem. Money is a dangerous addiction, more you spend, more you may want to spend, and you may end broke before even know it.
Keep in mind that if you :

  • live 84 years more, thats mean you only received 13 pounds per day
  • live 55 years more, thats mean you only received 20 pounds per day
  • live 36 years more, thats mean you only received 30 pounds per day

wish is not that mush...

If I would receive 10000 times more I would hire people to make an MMO featuring the concept of smokes and rekon, with a server roleplay (I already have a ton of idea on a 20 non-ia pages)

PS : I'm a statistician, bayesian and determinism believer (And depressed), of course i'm boring T.T

posted 9 months ago

Put money on side in case you have a problem in the future.
Money is made to have an appeased mind because it anticipating problems, you might need this money in the future.

posted 9 months ago

Bruh... I saw TH getting destroyed by a team teamkilling themself, the level of teamplay and strat in EMEA is in the abyss, you really think GX are a "good team" ?

I agree for EMEA future, I trust in TH comeback, and I trust in everyone getting better, and we may have the most competitive region in champion, but for now... Well, I'm really not convinced.

posted 9 months ago

Damn, the narrative as really shift from EU vs NA to Occident vs Orient.

To me G2 > DRX > T1 > TL, but the team are really close, anything can happen, I feel beside Trace, the 7 team could have won the tournament

posted 9 months ago

Radiant it's about aim, not about having a gameplan that rely on teamplay

posted 9 months ago

Nope, if they are ranked that low is because EMEA was horrible to watch at every level, every team looked kinda bad. Even VIT where doing weird move and won almost only because firepower (They almost loose against KC that was really shaky too, loosing against GX), the problem here is that a lot of EMEA team where rebuilding and not being good, and they should have rollstomp the kickoff, they didn't and get eliminated in a really humiliating way, while GEN was eliminated in a close BO against T1 that wasnt bad, MIBR shows intresting things, so yeah, they might not be the worst seed 3, but still... (Based on my ELObot they are the best team that didnt qual, but the bot doesnt care about if the win was close or not)

PS : i'm not saying EMEA will be puretrash this year, I think a lot of team have time to improve between Kickoff and Champions, Vitality especially even if they where shaky in Kickoff, will be amazing if they continue to improve during the year

posted 9 months ago

Let's be honnest, if I would be coach, and my team have a plush, I would hug it at everyround, 5 lovely guys but someone share one braincell can just decide to destroy your career by doing shit at any moment, ofc I would hug the ugly cube for comfort at any moment in the game T.T

posted 9 months ago

Aways happy to help !

posted 9 months ago

Depends of the draw, 2 seed 1 might face each other

posted 9 months ago

Except now it's Tejo-Breach, things hasnt change a lot since this day

So basically an analysis of what type of composition works : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Os_TUrIpEDE
And basically the situation at this masters https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1zLGoGBMN8

posted 9 months ago

I'm saying the analogy doesnt work not that "it's not 1:1", nobody makes hard calculation anymore, and everybody uses calculator. If you say "look at this car flying as train" and I answer "Cars dont fly" you cant answer "It's not an analogy 1:1"

posted 9 months ago

Because calculator doesnt tell you wish formula would you apply. Today i almost always use calculator when it's possible, but the real challenge is to pick the good formula to put in the calculator

posted 9 months ago

The reason why your analogy doesn't work, is, to me, the reason why your reasoning is false ^^. If bot can do better than us, why shall we do it ? ^^

posted 9 months ago

Math is about to know "Wish formula I have to apply in that context", things that calculators dont

posted 9 months ago

I really hope so, but i'm afraid their success (winning EMEA, and being at least top 4 world), might make them delusional about the lack of teamplay. They have potential to rollstomp champions with a little bit more of teamplay, but it's rare to see a team with success do reassessment, wish mean they might have stagnation :/

posted 9 months ago

We need a 2024 G2 that will slap stratégically a team that have twice their firepower to make them learn it's impossible to win inter by playing a semi-ranked

posted 9 months ago

Yeah, and what is the most sad, is that with a little bit more of strategy and rigor the team could be MONSTRUOUS
But because nobody is able to challenge them in EMEA they will probably "not change anything" because "if it's not broken why change it"

posted 9 months ago

Wait bro learn about butterfly effect, (or just how support people can be good for the mental health)

posted 9 months ago

I'mm so sad seing all European flag, our team have no national identity wish is sad

posted 9 months ago

144p > all

posted 9 months ago

Did you saw EDG-TL Split ?

posted 9 months ago

47% Non Mirror Win Rate for Tejo on Bind over 47 games T1+T2

posted 9 months ago

Leo Faria is an absolute monster on the server, a player whose mechanical skill and game sense make him look like he's playing an entirely different game. His aim is pixel-perfect, locking onto heads with terrifying precision, and his movement is so fluid it feels like he’s gliding across the map. Whether he’s holding down the c site on Lotus with just a ghost or dismantling sentiluls with insane crosshair placement, Leo Faria makes it look effortless. His ability to read the game and outmaneuver opponents is next level, constantly making plays that leave even top-tier players questioning their existence. Watching him play isn’t just entertaining—it’s a masterclass in dominance.

posted 9 months ago

I've a dream where Sentinel where the first and the last western team to ever win an international event

posted 9 months ago

Wait shouldnt be "average" instead of a sum ? Because some team can 2-1 no ?

posted 9 months ago

Fair enough in that case, I'm even sure Marseille is too far from the highroad to make it worth to go in Marseille if you do italy --> Spain, then you probably pass by Aix instead of Marseille (that probably look far more to Montpellier)

posted 9 months ago

WTF Montpellier T.T ? Did you really saw Noailles and Calanques ? T.T The weird mix between the poor Newborough that have drug dealer, just right next to the rich neighbourough just living in front of a hiking spot on mountain, with drug dealer having loyalty card, and Olympique de Marseille being raise at a level of a religion where the Velodrome is a temple (It's so high I suspect Mulsim Marseillan to go more to the Velodrome than at the Mosque), with hills everywhere on the city, and you systematically go up and down. To me they are a lot of things that makes the city unique (Calanques specifically, weird culture too)

This humorist have made a good summup https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_JSMej2gB80

Wish part did you visit ? Only the "Vieux port" and the "Cafetière" ? (Thats the only part that couls be seen as Montpellier to me)

posted 9 months ago

Opinion on the weirdest city in the world : Marseille ?

posted 9 months ago

GenHBaby, pretty fitting for someone that always post under GHB

posted 9 months ago

Why does chinese food price is really low compared to Japanese food then ? T.T

posted 9 months ago

Hm People like less Abyss than the other map it seems :c

posted 9 months ago

Then the problem is more people that cant accept opinion more than the debate itself I think ^^

And sometime I manage to have constructive things on vlr, they are still a hope in it

posted 9 months ago

I strongly desagree with you, thats thanks to clash of idea, debate and everything, human species is able to do amazing things.
Sure his argument is poor, but thats not because he doesnt master the art of constructive debate that we should stop debate about thing.
Even more, debate allow us to understand each other more, maybe we will not find a common conclusion, but if we listen enough we will understand better the taste of the other and have a better understand of the world !

posted 9 months ago
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