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Ways Sen can still Qual

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#1
NotNefarious

Before the loss to EG which is crazy, it was still all up to their wins to decide. Now it's up to the wins and other teams. There are many options as of right now but based off tomorrows games that will set the win conditions for them. For all of these I am assuming C9 and NRG win the rest of their games and I think C9 will be #1 seed since they have the easiest road as C9 has to play the 2 worst teams so lets say they end up 5-1 and NRG has to play EG and 100 Thieves which I would have said would be easy but given their loss to Lev compared to Sen loss to Lev both those teams could beat them or at least cost them a map which would make C9 on top. I say NRG end up 5-1 or 4-2 but still #2 seed.

Option 1:
KRU lose to Loud, Lev, and 100 thieves which seems completely possible to me as I do not this KRU are good at all and have been riding easy as of right now so I say in this scenario they end 3-3

G2 will most likely lose to Loud and Lev but win over MIBR as I think Loud will qualify and kick back into gear moving forward. This will put G2 at 3-3 as well

Then and only then if sen wins their next 2 games then they will be 4-2 and move on

meaning #1 seeds are C9 and Lev #2 seed are NRG or Sen and 100 thieves and #3 seed are NRG or Sen and loud

Option 2:
Lev beats G2 and Kru putting them at 3-1 and 2-2 as of now

Kru also still loses to 100 thieves putting them at 3-2

G2 can still win to MIBR putting them at 3-2

now the thing here is only one of the 2 Kru or G2 need to lose to Loud which will put either Kru at 3-3 or G2 at 3-3

also NRG beats eg which seems like a gimme

so long as sen win both games moving forward them loud, MIBR, furia, and EG do not meet the 2 win requirement and the their 3rd spot will go to alpha meaning nrg c9 sen and g2/kru depending on who loses to loud.

these are just the 2 most possible chances in my mind given who we think will win just based off what we have seen but as this week showed anything can happen. nrg and c9 both lose giving the chance for sen to be #1 seed and just as quickly sen lost and became last. things happened and there are still so many chances for sen to make it or not. either way it could be through an extra 4th slot for alpha or g2 and kru losing or even come down to map diff if g2 or kuru tie with sen 3-3 or 4-2. So dont go saying they or anyone else are out yet besides furia and MIBR 🤣

as for sen today, they were bad I will admit. A lot of it came down to how bad their aim was today as I feel like their strategies were not to bad and just couldn't be excited because of whiffing. Especially on bind where they had it down and just choked. I dont think the team needs to be posting that they dont deserve to make it to playoffs. that's a bad mindset to have and while yes they have been inconstant by either dominating or choking a lot. all of their games have been very closed compared to some like NRG. they aren't playing the best but they aren't playing bad. I still put them very high overall as they have proven what they can do when they got their shit together compared to some teams. Come back to this to laugh if im wrong I can take it but if I am right you better give praise instead. dont just hate when someone gets it wrong and ignore when they were right because you were wrong. I dare anyone who has read this far to post what they think will happen and we shall see.

Sorry for allat feel free to skip :)

#2
dariiii
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The hopium is off the roofs

#4
NotNefarious
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you did not read allat in 10 seconds dont even pretend like you know if its hopium or not. its just straight analytics and numbers until the end where I just gave a take.

#19
kyro1
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not reading allat as soon as i saw kru are not good at all. they clear sen

#37
MeloSquids
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its a crime to even compare KRU to sentiwashed

#39
NotNefarious
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you think that buddy, I hope your bronze lobbys are good to you today 👍

#41
phm04
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the group standings says otherwise

#3
danii1
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Bro just win 2 games

#6
NotNefarious
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basically yeah but that's not enough but it is all they can do

#8
badutsirkus
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dw, g2 and nrg will choke, so long as you guys win the 2 games

#9
danii1
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Need to be clean 2-0s

#10
NotNefarious
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no they dont actually lol that was my whole point above because I have been seeing that everywhere and its not true. it helps but it doesn't mean end all be all.

#14
danii1
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My bad sir 🫡

#5
prx_brina08
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aint reading allat

#7
NotNefarious
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fair enough

#11
Orangepanda
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Allat, just win 2-0 and 4-2. Major winner right?

#12
NotNefarious
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I mean even that's still not guaranteed is all I am saying and it does now rely on other teams. Just listing the most Lilkly possibility's as I saw some people wonder and some slight misinformation going around about them needing to win both games 2-0 on maps as well.

#13
TheAceGamer30
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Just win against loud and Furia, kru and g2 will drop

#15
sussybaka
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bro you're coping so hard, please think with a clear mind.
kru and g2 will drop only if they lose lol

#17
NotNefarious
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Which they will given the match ups

#25
TheAceGamer30
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He’s just a braindead sen hater bro thinks 100t is better than sen 🤣

#26
sussybaka
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100t wouldn't choke 10-2 lead atleast 😭

#29
TheAceGamer30
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They 100% would lmao

#16
Shifts
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If they win the two games they will qualify, C9 will give either MIBR and FURIA their first win and G2 will lose to LEV & LOUD

#42
NotNefarious
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I dont think MIBR or Furia will win even 1 game this split

#45
Shifts
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Trust C9 will choke and will give either one their first win

A lot of people on this site think teams will always play good, offdays happen look at how NRG got rolled and how C9 rolled LOUD.

#18
Saiki_taha
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if they win they last 2 games, what scenario sen won't qualify?

#20
cartixuzi
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NRG and C9 are likely to go 5-1 right now and KRU is already 3-0 but their next 3 matches are their hardest.

#21
Mortadelo
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If your whole plan implies that KRU has to lose 3 games in a row I have bad news for ya

#24
TheAceGamer30
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Bro they aren’t beating lev for sure. I doubt they will beat loud

#28
Mortadelo
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Even if you think they aren’t favorites for any of the 3 games which I disagree with. If you give them like a 30/40% the chances of that not hitting 3 times are not that low

#35
TheAceGamer30
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don’t get me wrong kru is a great team but I don’t know how good they will be against a team like lev or 100t

#36
Mortadelo
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I’m pretty confident in their ability to beat 100T, but even if they didn’t they can upset any of the other 2. Loud are looking shaky and kru knows lev very well

#38
TheAceGamer30
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We will see

#22
Obsidian_Echo
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if sen lose to loud, its gg no ?

#23
TheAceGamer30
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I mean 3-3 they can still qualify but sen gonna need some insane luck

#32
Obsidian_Echo
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oh right they have furia as well, ok pray now ig lmao

#33
TheAceGamer30
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Yes

#27
mon471
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Allat for sen? You smoking

#30
X20M2703
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SEN is not going to shanghai because they need to be prepared for champs

#34
TheAceGamer30
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I mean they are almost guaranteed to qual for champs so it’s all good. Split 1 shouldn’t matter as much for them

#43
NotNefarious
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That is whole other point to which is maybe they shouldn't go to Shanghai and get to prep like all these other teams did because they haven't really gotten a break to really rework things.

#44
TheAceGamer30
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Yeah it might be good for them not going to shanghai as they have footage to watch and they can prep new stuff

#31
moshimoshiman24
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no need to apologize bro. even tho its alot appreciate the research u put into this and its ez for everyone to understand

#40
NotNefarious
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thank you, I appreciate it

#46
EntryKJ
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time for some updates

#47
NotNefarious
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I got you

#49
EntryKJ
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thanks

#48
glinki3436
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holy shit yapatron

#53
NotNefarious
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you dont have to read it you know, just posting my thoughts and helping some people understand it in a different way beside

sen win both
eg lose
g2 loss
loud no qualify
4 spot alpha

which yes makes sense but only if you already understand the win by 2 rule and whatnot

#50
makesung
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KRU would be 5-1 lose to LEV but win 100T I think

#51
Shifts
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SEN just have to win against LOUD so they have no chance at playoffs (LOUD)

EG have to lose against NRG so they have no chance either

Then it's a 4 way advance for Alpha

After the 4 way advance is confirmed, it's just based on how bad the other teams in their group perform

g2 could lose to loud and c9 could choke against mibr or furia (interesting org), nrg could choke against 100t or eg (preferably 100t)

I think this is right for the most part idk, if sen win both games 2-0 it makes it much more promising for map and round differential bc they will be above c9 and g2, still unlikely for c9 and nrg to lose

Edit: Even if Furia and Mibr go 2-3, SEN will be 3rd so they will qualify still

#52
NotNefarious
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that is the best choice as of rn

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