Chances of winning masters

#1

CurxyyTTV

LOUD - 50% chance
Optic - 20% chance
Paper X - 20% chance
Zeta - 10% chance

Im from NA btw

#2

Hidden_Name

6

Frags

+

–

prx = 100%

#3

kshah

37

Frags

+

–

more like
loud: 30%
optic: 30%
Paper Rex: 20%
Zeta: 20%

#7

kristof

-19

Frags

+

–

flair

#10

kshah

19

Frags

+

–

these teams are all super close in skill, i'm not being biased when giving optic 30%, they're in the upper bracket for a reason

#29

Sir_Emu

2

Frags

+

–

despite them making it this far, i still have no confidence in zeta
optic 40
loud 40
paper rex 20

#4

Gomes255

0

Frags

+

–

TTV

#11

kwe

0

Frags

+

–

90%

#32

Craig_Garth

0

Frags

+

–

What is that?

#5

Styling911

0

Frags

+

–

LOud 93%

#6

Slashyiguess

0

Frags

+

–

TTV

#8

since_beta

6

Frags

+

–

LOUD - 45% chance
Optic - 35% chance
Paper X - 15% chance
Zeta - 5% chance

#9

Yuno7

-6

Frags

+

–

40 optic I think their experience will gives them the edge over loud
Loud 30 they are loud no explanation needed
Paper rex 20 their weird comps and insane aim can catch any team off guard I think they can beat any team in the top 4
Zeta 10 they have insane aim and huge pop off potential and their improvement is crazy I think they have high chances of getting 3rd or 2nd but map pool not deep enough for a bo5

#12

Nosk

20

Frags

+

–

LOUD - 25% chance
Optic - 25% chance
Paper X - 25% chance
Zeta - 25% chance

#15

Kibe

1

Frags

+

–

Lúcido

#13

brdreamer

14

Frags

+

–

TSM 110% chance

#24

SweetyMajdoor

4

Frags

+

–

based

#14

trembolonaRage

-3

Frags

+

–

Optic 45
Loud 30
Prx 20
Zeta 5

#16

Kibe

1

Frags

+

–

Loud 50% (50% Win/50% lose)

#27

luckypleb

2

Frags

+

–

25% win/75% lose

Let p(L) be the probability of Loud winning the whole thing. Loud needs to win 2 series to win masters.

Thus,
p(L)= (1/2)*(1/2)=1/4=25%

Therefore, the probability of Loud winning masters is 25%.

#35

tttangent

1

Frags

+

–

if you want to do it mathematically this would actually be wrong!

50% chance of LOUD winning upper finals * 50% chance winning grand finals = 25%
50% chance of LOUD losing upper finals, 50% chance winning lower finals, 50% chance winning grand finals = 12.5%

so p(L) = 37.5%

overall:
LOUD - 37.5%
OpTic - 37.5%
ZETA - 12.5% (win lower semis, win lower finals, win grand finals)
PRX - 12.5%

#36

luckypleb

0

Frags

+

–

Holyshit yeah i forgot they're in upper bracket

#38

Kibe

3

Frags

+

–

I know it's not 50%. It's just a meme from Gaules' stream. Every time he speculates about the possibility of something happening, even if it's something very difficult, he says it has a 50% chance. 50% happening and 50% not happening.

#17

erickwak

1

Frags

+

–

more like 45% zeta
prx 35%
optic 15%
and loud 5%

#18

lpn

3

Frags

+

–

Imo Everbody in the upper bracket has 10% more chance because if the team got eliminated, they can still proceed to lowet bracket

Loud 35% - IDK haven't watched their matches
Optic 35% - Easily adapts. Structured and sometimes Agressive.
PRX - 15% - F0rsaken and Jingg Chemistry and Agressive Plays
Zeta - 15% Structured. Easily adapts.

#19

Miles_Clutch

0

Frags

+

–

TTV

#20

nutab1e

0

Frags

+

–

TTV

#21

unchained66x

2

Frags

+

–

bronzil 0%
guns 0%
prx 100%
anime 0%

#22

not_smart_user

5

Frags

+

–

prx = 33%
loud = 33%
zeta = 33%
0ptic = 1%

#23

rtyjrdtesh

2

Frags

+

–

Optic: 1%
Loud: 2%
Zeta: 3%
PRX: 94%

#25

tr9

4

Frags

+

–

Optic: 50%
Loud: 50%
Zeta: 50%
PRX: 50%

either they win or they lose

#30

Zzeroo

1

Frags

+

–

200 qi

#26

SeizeSG

0

Frags

+

–

PRX: 69%

#28

andrewdamf

-4

Frags

+

–

Loud 99%
Zeta 0,1%
Optic 0,99%
prx 0

#31

spaldingmatters

-1

Frags

+

–

LOUD - 35%
OpTic - 35%
Paper Rex - 20%
Zeta - 10%

#33

kyrielight

0

Frags

+

–

Paper Rex - 30%
Optic - 30%
Zeta - 20%
Loud - 20%

#34

eszett

0

Frags

+

–

40% loud
35% optic
15% paper rex
10% zeta

#37

WinterZ

-1

Frags

+

–

ppl are criminally underrating prx

OpTic: 30
LOUD: 25
PRX: 25
ZETA: 20

#39

JustHunter

-1

Frags

+

–

people over estimate loud but ok. Unless you mean theyre at 50% cause optic hella inconsistent