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SOS: Overrated/Underrated

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#1
FerahgoTheGreat

This post compares the Strength Of Schedule (SOS) for teams in Masters 2 Reykjavik and Masters 3 Berlin.
The strength of schedule is just the average placement of the teams that a team faced. Ties are treated as in the middle of the placement group, for instance, 9-12 ties are all counted as 10.5. The smaller the SOS the tougher the schedule.
SOS is highly seeding and placement dependent so doing better typically means a better SOS.
For Masters 2, Vikings got screwed with a really tough strength of schedule while Crazy Raccoons lost to a pretty weak strength of schedule. TL also had a pretty weak SOS for placing 4th.
The high stats for players like TenZ, Sacy, Derke, and Lakia are more impressive because they faced good opposition.

Masters 2 Reykjavik
Team Matches Maps SOS
1   SEN 4   9   3.13
2   VKS 3   6   4.17
3   FNC 7   16  4.21
4   NU  4   11  4.50
5   V1  4   10  4.63
6   TL  4   9   5.13
7   KRU 3   6   5.17
8   SHK 2   5   5.25
9   X10 3   6   5.67
10  CR  2   4   6.50

The Masters 3 Berlin format of group stages and single elim playoffs makes SOS almost useless since there is very little cross play between groups and a ton of ties. Also group D having a double round robin makes their SOS very different.
This time, CR faced Gambit twice so had a very high SOS. Group A didn't do well in playoffs so their SOS is quite low.

Masters 3 Berlin
 Team  Matches Maps SOS
1   F4Q     4   10  5.00
2   CR      3   6   5.50
3   NV      5   11  5.60
4   100T    4   10  6.00
5   SEN     5   12  6.00
6   GMB     6   15  6.08
7   G2      6   14  6.92
8   HL      2   4   7.00
9   VS      3   7   7.33
10  KRU     4   9   7.63
11  KS      3   6   7.67
12  ACE     4   10  7.75
13  REX     2   5   8.50
14  ZETA    2   4   8.50
15  SMB     3   8   9.17

The SOS is not comparable between tournaments since there are different numbers of teams, but I calculated an adjusted strength of schedule (SOSa). The formula is

(SOS - 1)/(#Teams - 1)

This makes the average SOS for Masters 2 (5.5) and the average SOS for Masters 3 (8.5) the same SOSa of 0.5.
If both Masters 2 and 3 were double elim, this would make the comparison useful, but since they have different formats you can't get a lot of info out of it.

Team  Matches Maps   SOS     SOSa
1   SEN2    4   9   3.13    0.236
2   F4Q3    4   10  5.00    0.267
3   CR3     3   6   5.50    0.300
4   NV3     5   11  5.60    0.307
5   100T3   4   10  6.00    0.333
6   SEN3    5   12  6.00    0.333
7   GMB3    6   15  6.08    0.339
8   VKS2    3   6   4.17    0.352
9   FNC2    7   16  4.21    0.357
10  NU2     4   11  4.50    0.389
11  G23     6   14  6.92    0.394
12  HL3     2   4   7.00    0.400
13  V12     4   10  4.63    0.403
14  VS3     3   7   7.33    0.422
15  KRU3    4   9   7.63    0.442
16  KS3     3   6   7.67    0.444
17  ACE3    4   10  7.75    0.450
18  TL2     4   9   5.13    0.458
19  KRU2    3   6   5.17    0.463
20  SHK2    2   5   5.25    0.472
21  REX3    2   5   8.50    0.500
22  ZETA3   2   4   8.50    0.500
23  X1023   3   6   5.67    0.519
24  SMB3    3   8   9.17    0.544
25  CR2     2   4   6.50    0.611

Basically teams high on the lists faced better opposition than teams lower on the lists.

#2
Hidden_Name
-7
Frags
+

why did u waste ur time on this?

#7
ShadowisBAD
3
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He spent time doing stats
It isn’t wrong clearly he wanted to do it

#8
Hidden_Name
-4
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whats the use?
esports awards statistician of the year?

#9
ShadowisBAD
2
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Bro stop with all this negativity bro
It’s gonna harm u in the future ( unlesss it’s alredy harming u now )

#11
Hidden_Name
0
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ok stopped

#3
Origin
0
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im so confused

#5
wedqatwrtgehge
0
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The lower the number the tougher the schedule, table 1 is masters 2, table 2 is masters 3, table 3 is all teams combined in one table

#4
Desperado_o
1
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Thats some great work! but it requires a little bit of thinking... maybe just post a conclusion in the end that summarises everything in simpler language

#6
coguyy
-1
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so, ez for CR?

#10
MilanTheMyth
0
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No idea but good work

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