100% the more stacked one.
Cgn are a bit eeeeeh though.
They are very comparable to turkish teams (in a bad way) where you can 100% see the insane talent on the roster, but they just dont feel like a team.
Their coaching staff shouldnt be bad either and theyve had a lot of time together which is why its always so frustrating to see the slow progression (compared to other t2 teams) every year.
At the end of the day they do farm though so eeeeeh, tf do I know.
People blaming comps (coughs in ardiis) get too tilted round 1 to actually watch the game and see that the comps very much fit the contact heavy playstyle they run and that its a huge advantage for them to not run standard comps.
Theyre def not among the favorites to win ascension. Apeks and GoNext play "proper" valorant while also shooting really well and teams like JL, Mouz and Barca (assuming they look as good as they did during playoffs with the roster change) all have better chances realistically.
Id group them in with Saw and Dysire where they can 100% do damage, and if they get the right streak going they could win, but its just highly unlikely.