What are the chances of them winning against
SEN vs NRG
SEN vs LOUD
SEN vs EG
Imo 1) 40% win rate
2) 40% win rate
3) 70% win rate
That's just not true in the slightest. Loud had a strong showing in the group stage due to good teamwork and unknown comps. Both LEV and SEN had game play for Loud to practice on whereas Loud did nothing public during the off-season. They wont match up again in the playoffs due to both Sen and Loud being in the same group, but if they did I think Sen would have a much stronger game plan against them (maybe like 50%-60% chance for Sen to win). NRG doesn't look very cohesive yet and I would honestly be shocked if Sen couldn't manage a win against them just off of trading and a relatively similar map pool. 40% for a win against EG is just hater mentality, that team while well coached is middle of the pack at best. If Sen make it out of the play-ins I think they have a solid chance to make it to Madrid.