Nrg and prx Bangkok chances?

Realistically what are the chances for them making Bangkok still? From every event I’ve seen out of memory (I did not research ts) the only team to ever make a lower bracket run from the first round was Copenhagen fpx (5 wins in a row) Nrg and led were seen as top 3 teams but what their chances of them winning the next 4 in a row to make it

prx- 0%{my apac pickems say so}
nrg- 2%

quite low for both of them

nrg 15%
prx 10%

cameran [#4]

nrg 15%
prx 10%

imo this is kinda high for them lmao

elysxxm [#5]

imo this is kinda high for them lmao

prolly a bit but geniunely nrg's run looks easier than u think lol
wouldnt be surprised if they finish top 3 (unless keznit drops 60 or sum shit and knocks them)

prx prolly a bit high but i cope

cameran [#6]

prolly a bit but geniunely nrg's run looks easier than u think lol
wouldnt be surprised if they finish top 3 (unless keznit drops 60 or sum shit and knocks them)

prx prolly a bit high but i cope

honeslty fair i have them losing lower finals

PRX 0%
NRG 30%

NRG has to beat KRU (imo, 80 20 in favor of NRG), then beat either g2 or lev (if G2, it's like 5 95, if lev 60 40), and then beat mibr, loud, sen or eg (which they should be expected to win, unless they go against sen which is more of a coin flip) So it's doable if they don't have to play G2.

Meanwhile, PRX is lowkey coinflips all the way. Every team they'll face is either just as good as them or slightly better than them (minus DFM, but DFM are cooking rn so I wouldn't call them out of the contention yet)

Mathematically assuming every game was a 50/50, it'd be like 6.25% each. That being said, it's probably more like 10-15% each.

Upstander123 [#9]

NRG has to beat KRU (imo, 80 20 in favor of NRG), then beat either g2 or lev (if G2, it's like 5 95, if lev 60 40), and then beat mibr, loud, sen or eg (which they should be expected to win, unless they go against sen which is more of a coin flip) So it's doable if they don't have to play G2.

Meanwhile, PRX is lowkey coinflips all the way. Every team they'll face is either just as good as them or slightly better than them (minus DFM, but DFM are cooking rn so I wouldn't call them out of the contention yet)

i mean you can look at it in the way that nrg are favored but the chances of it happening are so low because at some point a team like sen. loud will have so much footage of them in the lowers its no longer a 60/40 odd or soemthing

previously it was only geng but now there's t1 and possibly drx to take prx down so it's kinda hard ig esp they're in lb rn

elysxxm [#11]

i mean you can look at it in the way that nrg are favored but the chances of it happening are so low because at some point a team like sen. loud will have so much footage of them in the lowers its no longer a 60/40 odd or soemthing

Sen or Loud still have, at minimum, two more games to meet NRG (if NRG beat KRU and LEV). Also, if NRG face either mibr, loud, or eg, they'll have just as much footage as the other teams with have of them. If NRG really need it and end up facing SEN, they do have footage for SEN from the off season, which won't reveal much macro wise but reveal a lot micro wise (like, is x player likely to flank or regroup? Are they typically disciplined? If they are last alive, do they normally save or go for it or go for exits?). So, I still think that it's probably going to be around a 70/30 against EG, mibr, or loud, and I'm tempted to say a 60/40 against sen (because I think the no sentinel plan from SEN is horrible)

nrg 5%
prx 10/15%

It’s depends what side of the bed Prx wake up on and if they have a good flash agent in their comp to send it… if Prx troll only 20% of their rounds they should be alright

Nrg have to beat g2 or lev n for that to happen mada, som and Verno have to play pit of their minds as well as fns having a good game calling wise… with it being lowers and the amount of footage that will be out there, slim to none

PRX - shit the bed%
NRG - 2%

nrg-35%
prx-30%

Both less than 10%

temi [#15]

It’s depends what side of the bed Prx wake up on and if they have a good flash agent in their comp to send it… if Prx troll only 20% of their rounds they should be alright

Nrg have to beat g2 or lev n for that to happen mada, som and Verno have to play pit of their minds as well as fns having a good game calling wise… with it being lowers and the amount of footage that will be out there, slim to none

if only nrg didnt lose to cloud9 then i would actually think they would have a chance, even if they lost to g2 and made it lowers that bracket would be way easier and would make me feel better about their level of play

Hades_Loves_Rb [#17]

nrg-35%
prx-30%

what are rb's chances of winning champs

Upstander123 [#9]

NRG has to beat KRU (imo, 80 20 in favor of NRG), then beat either g2 or lev (if G2, it's like 5 95, if lev 60 40), and then beat mibr, loud, sen or eg (which they should be expected to win, unless they go against sen which is more of a coin flip) So it's doable if they don't have to play G2.

Meanwhile, PRX is lowkey coinflips all the way. Every team they'll face is either just as good as them or slightly better than them (minus DFM, but DFM are cooking rn so I wouldn't call them out of the contention yet)

all those theories just for nrg to lose to kru 😭😭