Thursday, March 4th
3:00 PM EST
Patch 2.03

Added Marshal, Yoru, Reyna tweaks

Gen.G team logo
final
0 : 2
vs.
Bo3
TSM team logo
Betting
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Streams
Valorant
Nerd Street
Maps/Stats
All Maps
1 Bind
2 Ascent
3 Icebox
Stats from this map are not available yet
Stats from this map are not available yet
Stats from this map are not available yet
Stats from this map are not available yet
Head-to-head
Past Matches
Comments:
Hide Pre-match
Threaded Linear
#1
FIreFistOM
-3
Frags
+

This time will TSM screw up again?

#8
FIreFistOM
-7
Frags
+

bruh this site is full of TSM fanboys

#44
FIreFistOM
0
Frags
+

TSM didnt screw up this time

#2
Zoxlr
2
Frags
+

revenge time

#3
Polarwanda
4
Frags
+

Rematch baby #TSMWIN

#4
sp5
4
Frags
+

Tsm wins this Subroza is back

#5
valplayer1
4
Frags
+

I hope TSM wins but I feel like GENG could beat them 2-1 again

#7
Tsm_Diamond
3
Frags
+

#TSMWIN

#6
wind_vlr
6
Frags
+

Revenge Time #TSMWIN :)

#9
greedeetv
3
Frags
+

Incoming TSM choke...

But seriously, this is (in my opinion) one of the most even matches of the quarterfinals and should be streamed especially with the fanbases attached to both organizations.

TSM has moved in quite a different direction from when we last saw them play against GenG (rip double smokes). I think this makes the match more interesting. It seems their strategy as a whole is better, and with a couple key players in form I think they're quite a bit better since the previous bout. With that said, with all the streamed matches you'd have to think both teams are completely ready for this match. I think GenG take the first map on Icebox but then TSM take Ascent and Bind. 2-1 TSM

#11
FIreFistOM
1
Frags
+

all games in closed qualifiers are streamed either on nerdstgamers or nerdstgamers2

#15
Azuku
1
Frags
+

I think TSM should ban Icebox, because GenG is just very good and sync. in Icebox.

#48
greedeetv
0
Frags
+

I was right!

#10
Adruvi17
0
Frags
+

nice match to see, confirmed

#12
TheArcticArcher
-6
Frags
+

Bruh why the hell did they stop running 3 duelists omg bruh subroza is ass at skye and hazed or cutler who ever tf was playing killjoy is bad. Bruh why change something that is working omfg

#13
leveleconomics2
1
Frags
+

it could be that it is easy to counter so they have to change it up

#17
TheArcticArcher
1
Frags
+

Even if it is predicted its working isn't it i mean they almost won first strike

#14
HikoWhiffs
2
Frags
+

2-1 GenG but If Wardell or Drone outperforms on one maps each 2-1 TSM

#16
taxxje
2
Frags
+

GenG constantly grinding. Shawn and Koosta are finding their footing on this team and looking solid. This being said, Wardell is off his rocker recently and Roza appeared to be on one these past couple TSM matches. This will be the series to watch. 2-0 TSM both maps very close with potential OT.

#18
zet1wnl
5
Frags
+

roster change for TSM if they lose on this match

#19
mAko
1
Frags
+

yeah I hope so, cause Wardell, drone, and Subrosa deserve a better team

#27
Tzuyu
0
Frags
+

Yeah they are inconsistent

#20
rohitpulipaka
1
Frags
+

TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM #TSMWIN.... Now that Hazed shaved his beard, he is in full form now. and SUBROZA was lookin spicy in the open qual last week sheeeeeeshhhh!!!!!!

#21
P1coFly
1
Frags
+

TSM should want to win this, I think they can do it

#22
Ace44drgns
0
Frags
+

LET'S GO GEN.G

#23
PoPanda
9
Frags
+

Maps

We'll probably see TSM ban Haven. Gen.G should ban out Ascent, if they know what's good for them, or Split if they still haven't added it to their pool.

Either way, TSM have a huge advantage map-wise coming into this game. Using data from the last two months, TSM's map win rate doesn't drop below 75% on any map (except their ban). They have won 100% of the Ascent matches and roughly 80% of their Bind and Icebox matches.

Gen.G are also sick on Bind, and could well take the map from TSM. So, if it is picked 1st or 2nd. We could see the series go to a 3rd map.

Player Stats

Again, the player stats place TSM as a firm frontrunner. They put out higher avr. stats on player rating, acs, k/d and adr. They hit more headshots and have a better entry success rate too.

Looking at just their 5 last games, Gen.G's stats are seriously impressive. but, even taking into account the calibre of opponents, TSM still look more dominant.

Win %

Using data from their last 5 matches, and using a modifier to represent the difference in opponent tiers, TSM have a very comfortable lead in ATK & DEF win %. Gen.G are really struggling on ATK halves and their DEF halves win % is in the low 40s. TSM are putting out roughly 60% on both ATK & DEF.

Prediction

I suppose the big caveat is opponent quality. TSM have been rumbling through the open quals, crushing new and orgless teams along the way, while Gen.G have spent their last 5 games battling at the top end of NA competition. However, I try and balance these discrepancies using a multiplier to represent how challenging each opponent is, to give a more useful comparison. Even with these multipliers, Gen.G doesn't look ready to defeat TSM.

TSM 2-1 if Gen.G ban Ascent
TSM 2-0 if Gen.G ban Split

#25
HikoWhiffs
0
Frags
+

GenG played Real Orgs while TSM played Orgless teams during the last 5 matches.
U cant just use data from 5 last matches

#26
PoPanda
0
Frags
+

For sure, That's why I use a multiplier to go some way to reduce the differential.

It's not going to be spot on, but it helps to predict how well they would do against more comparative teams.

#43
mAko
1
Frags
+

Right on the money !!!!

#45
VALoka
0
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+

lmaoo now way ur actually smart

#24
bigpeensheen
2
Frags
+

TSM can beat GenG. Will it be an easy task? No, not at all. GenG with shawn is already very scary, and at times, versing them becomes hard to watch since they are one of few teams who have great sync. But, if Drone plays Phoenix and Subroza plays a support, we can win this game

#28
Fat_Lard
0
Frags
+

GenG 2-1

#29
Caperalli
-1
Frags
+

Hyuhn losing that duel to wardell in B with just a ghost. Get fucked you shitter. Dude is such a pea brain player.

#32
Acount123
0
Frags
+

yikes

#30
hilo0829
0
Frags
+

Jesus subroza won that by himself

#33
PoPanda
0
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+

He's insane.

Taking Gen.G's pick is huge. Hard fought and great to watch.

#31
C9fansarecucks
0
Frags
+

Subroza absolute dicked them down in bind, that eco loss for GenG lost them the map, Hyuhn, Mkael and GMD all whiffed

#34
rohitpulipaka
1
Frags
+

TSM Up 1-0. And TSM has 100% win rate on Ascent during the VCT !!! That TSM thrifty round sealed the deal. Hyuhn losing that duel against Wardell was massive. #TSMWIN

#35
PoPanda
0
Frags
+

+1

#36
wmzgod
1
Frags
+

GOD WARDELL
TSM 2-0

#37
plas
1
Frags
+

I think u mean GOD SUBROZA cause holy shit he is popping off

#38
myson
3
Frags
+

Subroza is insane

#39
rohitpulipaka
0
Frags
+

That's a Wrap!!!! GG Gen G. #TSMWIN

#40
C9fansarecucks
3
Frags
+

Time to remove Mkael

TSM just looked way better, score doesn't show it

#41
mAko
0
Frags
+

Revenge #TSMWIN

#42
FIreFistOM
0
Frags
+

Although Game Looks Close TSM was just owning them.... TSM lost all pistols and thats why it looked close....

#46
VALoka
0
Frags
+

Lmao a kid talking shit about TSM deleted his comment

#47
FIreFistOM
-1
Frags
+

you can delete comments on this site?

#49
syn505
1
Frags
+

.

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