breakdown of how games would realistically turn out and how it would favour sen:
G2 vs LEV - LEV win which puts G2 at 2-2
KRU vs LOUD - imma go for LOUD although KRU could very well win it, leaves KRU at 3-1
G2 vs MIBR - G2 win which puts them at 3-2
SEN vs LOUD - huge game here im gonna go for SEN which puts them at 3-2
C9 vs FURIA - no chance C9 lose FURIA are the worst team in the league, leaves C9 at 4-1
NRG vs EG - as good as EG looked against SEN i honestly dont see them beating NRG, leaving NRG at 4-1
KRU vs 100T - ill go with KRU for worst case scenario for SEN, leaving KRU at 4-1
SEN vs FURIA - no chance SEN lose, puts them at 4-2
NRG vs 100T - gonna give it to NRG, puts them at 5-1
KRU vs LEV - LEV look too good to me so imma give it to them, puts KRU at 4-2
C9 vs MIBR - no need to explain, C9 at 5-1
G2 vs LOUD - trusting in a Saadhak masterclass, puts G2 at 3-3
FInal standings:
C9: 5-1
NRG: 5-1
SEN / KRU: 4-2
G2: 3-3
if the games go like this then the map and round wins will determine who goes thru out of SEN and KRU.
to guarantee the highest realistic chance of SEN winning, these games need to go like this:
-100T beats KRU, however KRU could beat LOUD so it could still leave them at 4-2, will leave KRU at 4-2
-C9 have no chance of losing to either MIBR or FURIA so will remain at 5-1
-G2 will not make it unless they beat either LEV or LOUD, which is possible but i believe LOUD can still pull it back
-NRG losing to either EG or 100T makes it much easier for SEN, again leaving it to map and round advantage
SEN win cons TLDR:
-LEV need to maintain form and win out
-100T need to keep form from the C9 game
-LOUD need to turn up