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sen playoff chances

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#1
MrGoose92

breakdown of how games would realistically turn out and how it would favour sen:

G2 vs LEV - LEV win which puts G2 at 2-2
KRU vs LOUD - imma go for LOUD although KRU could very well win it, leaves KRU at 3-1
G2 vs MIBR - G2 win which puts them at 3-2
SEN vs LOUD - huge game here im gonna go for SEN which puts them at 3-2
C9 vs FURIA - no chance C9 lose FURIA are the worst team in the league, leaves C9 at 4-1
NRG vs EG - as good as EG looked against SEN i honestly dont see them beating NRG, leaving NRG at 4-1
KRU vs 100T - ill go with KRU for worst case scenario for SEN, leaving KRU at 4-1
SEN vs FURIA - no chance SEN lose, puts them at 4-2
NRG vs 100T - gonna give it to NRG, puts them at 5-1
KRU vs LEV - LEV look too good to me so imma give it to them, puts KRU at 4-2
C9 vs MIBR - no need to explain, C9 at 5-1
G2 vs LOUD - trusting in a Saadhak masterclass, puts G2 at 3-3

FInal standings:

C9: 5-1
NRG: 5-1
SEN / KRU: 4-2
G2: 3-3

if the games go like this then the map and round wins will determine who goes thru out of SEN and KRU.

to guarantee the highest realistic chance of SEN winning, these games need to go like this:

-100T beats KRU, however KRU could beat LOUD so it could still leave them at 4-2, will leave KRU at 4-2
-C9 have no chance of losing to either MIBR or FURIA so will remain at 5-1
-G2 will not make it unless they beat either LEV or LOUD, which is possible but i believe LOUD can still pull it back
-NRG losing to either EG or 100T makes it much easier for SEN, again leaving it to map and round advantage

SEN win cons TLDR:

-LEV need to maintain form and win out
-100T need to keep form from the C9 game
-LOUD need to turn up

#2
hunkkz
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Allat

#3
MrGoose92
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holy yap i yapped

#4
Powercvrd
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2023 alllll over again

#5
MrGoose92
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hunkkz [#2]

Allat

apologies

#6
cboomer
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bro listen its this simple enough with the nerd math

if two teams in sen group go 3-3, they go through

if only g2/kru is 3-3 then they need a team from the other group to not have 2 wins ez

#7
TheAceGamer30
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Sen just needs to win the two games and they should be fine

#8
MrGoose92
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cboomer [#6]

bro listen its this simple enough with the nerd math

if two teams in sen group go 3-3, they go through

if only g2/kru is 3-3 then they need a team from the other group to not have 2 wins ez

that's true, for the second option it pretty much comes down to LOUD unless EG fucking undergo evolution and beat NRG. that being said, LOUD has to lose to both KRU and G2, which is possible but then again it is LOUD and i want LOUD to beat KRU so SEN make it thru their own group

#9
MrGoose92
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TheAceGamer30 [#7]

Sen just needs to win the two games and they should be fine

i have no worries about them 2-0ing FURIA, but to maximise chances they gotta beat LOUD pretty convincingly too

#10
TheAceGamer30
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MrGoose92 [#9]

i have no worries about them 2-0ing FURIA, but to maximise chances they gotta beat LOUD pretty convincingly too

If loud doesn’t perma ban split they are automatically 1 map down my guess they will pick bind let’s hope sen can cook them on that map
Edit: nvm louds perma ban is split 🤣. I guess we going to lotus

#11
MrGoose92
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TheAceGamer30 [#10]

If loud doesn’t perma ban split they are automatically 1 map down my guess they will pick bind let’s hope sen can cook them on that map
Edit: nvm louds perma ban is split 🤣. I guess we going to lotus

their bind and lotus were both undefeated at Madrid, hopefully the loss to EG is a wake up call

#12
Tenzy
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MrGoose92 [#5]

apologies

bro, you took the time to type all that thats how ik your a sen fan

#13
Ausam
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MrGoose92 [#11]

their bind and lotus were both undefeated at Madrid, hopefully the loss to EG is a wake up call

I dont even think its a sen map issue.They are a team are not playing together as they usually do.They were notorious for that back in kickoff and madrid.So if they can go back to that form they should be fine

#14
MrGoose92
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Tenzy [#12]

bro, you took the time to type all that thats how ik your a sen fan

got important exams in 3 weeks i should not be yapping on vlr

#15
MrGoose92
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Ausam [#13]

I dont even think its a sen map issue.They are a team are not playing together as they usually do.They were notorious for that back in kickoff and madrid.So if they can go back to that form they should be fine

yeah thats exactly the issue, the chemistry doesnt look like it has been there recently, hopefully they turn it up again

#16
Ausam
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MrGoose92 [#15]

yeah thats exactly the issue, the chemistry doesnt look like it has been there recently, hopefully they turn it up again

yea like its a quick fixable issue.So they can turn it around fast.Like how lev did from week 1 to week 2.Lev sorta remind me of sen from kickoff rn

#17
MrGoose92
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Ausam [#16]

yea like its a quick fixable issue.So they can turn it around fast.Like how lev did from week 1 to week 2.Lev sorta remind me of sen from kickoff rn

yeah LEV are really meshing together and snowballing through, SEN just need to lock in and find that again

#18
Bald_man
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Tenzy [#12]

bro, you took the time to type all that thats how ik your a sen fan

i can sum it up ez for you

kru loses all 3 games (all tough) 3-3
g2 loses 1 games hypothetically 4-2
sen win both games of map diff 4-2

sen qualify ez

#19
HongEunchae
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MisterGoose92 with all the analysis just for sen to get 13-0'ed by LOUD

#20
dante19
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i respect you for taking the time for us sen fans
i think they are burnt out from all the lans

#21
TheAceGamer30
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Ausam [#16]

yea like its a quick fixable issue.So they can turn it around fast.Like how lev did from week 1 to week 2.Lev sorta remind me of sen from kickoff rn

Agree bro . Sen can easily come back from this

#22
MrGoose92
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dante19 [#20]

i respect you for taking the time for us sen fans
i think they are burnt out from all the lans

all good brother, let's just keep believing

#23
MrGoose92
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HongEunchae [#19]

MisterGoose92 with all the analysis just for sen to get 13-0'ed by LOUD

i'd actually end it all

#24
Tenzy
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Bald_man [#18]

i can sum it up ez for you

kru loses all 3 games (all tough) 3-3
g2 loses 1 games hypothetically 4-2
sen win both games of map diff 4-2

sen qualify ez

kru wont loose all 3, theres no way i wouldnt be suprised if they go 5-0

#25
Bald_man
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Tenzy [#24]

kru wont loose all 3, theres no way i wouldnt be suprised if they go 5-0

they aren't winning lev or 100t

loud if they choke
but loud clears

#26
Lucrix
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yo i was just thinking earlier today about how during 2022 everyone was running calculations for how sen could possibly get top 8, make masters, etc. and then i see this. this made me laugh out loud

respect the analysis tho

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