Chances of making it out in first place

#1

NioMS

Group A:
Paper Rex: 65%
EDG: 20%
Giants: 10%
Krü: 5%

Group B:
EG: 80%
Fut: 10%
T1: 10%
Fpx: 0%

Group C
Fnatic: 75%
NRG: 20%
Zeta: 5%
BLG: 0%

Group D
Loud: 30%
Team Liquid 30%
Drx: 20%
Navi: 20%

#2

kirrans

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my maths is very rusty, but considering two teams are going out of each group, shouldn't the percentages add up to 200% instead? like it doesn't seem right to me that theres a 25% chance total for NRG, Zeta and BLG to make it out when one of them is guaranteed to

but also my maths is awful, it just seems weird

#4

Aivi

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its not the percentage of the team making it out of groups, but percentage of the team finishing first in the respective group.
i.e. fnatic has a 75% chance of winning the game against zeta and then winning against the winner of nrg/blg.
only one team can come 'first' so its only out of 100

#5

kirrans

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mb mb, i can't read

#3

Hynix

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NAVI 0%
DRX might be shit but not shit enough to be on the same level as navi