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Chances of making it out in first place

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#1
NioMS

Group A:
Paper Rex: 65%
EDG: 20%
Giants: 10%
Krü: 5%

Group B:
EG: 80%
Fut: 10%
T1: 10%
Fpx: 0%

Group C
Fnatic: 75%
NRG: 20%
Zeta: 5%
BLG: 0%

Group D
Loud: 30%
Team Liquid 30%
Drx: 20%
Navi: 20%

#2
kirrans
0
Frags
+

my maths is very rusty, but considering two teams are going out of each group, shouldn't the percentages add up to 200% instead? like it doesn't seem right to me that theres a 25% chance total for NRG, Zeta and BLG to make it out when one of them is guaranteed to

but also my maths is awful, it just seems weird

#3
Hynix
0
Frags
+

NAVI 0%
DRX might be shit but not shit enough to be on the same level as navi

#4
Aivi
0
Frags
+
kirrans [#2]

my maths is very rusty, but considering two teams are going out of each group, shouldn't the percentages add up to 200% instead? like it doesn't seem right to me that theres a 25% chance total for NRG, Zeta and BLG to make it out when one of them is guaranteed to

but also my maths is awful, it just seems weird

its not the percentage of the team making it out of groups, but percentage of the team finishing first in the respective group.
i.e. fnatic has a 75% chance of winning the game against zeta and then winning against the winner of nrg/blg.
only one team can come 'first' so its only out of 100

#5
kirrans
1
Frags
+
Aivi [#4]

its not the percentage of the team making it out of groups, but percentage of the team finishing first in the respective group.
i.e. fnatic has a 75% chance of winning the game against zeta and then winning against the winner of nrg/blg.
only one team can come 'first' so its only out of 100

mb mb, i can't read

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