100T v Faze
100T up until their match vs Ghost were the best attacking team and had the best post plant win rate. 100T before their ghost match had a 51% win rate on atk when they got the first kill. They also had a 90% post plant win rate and won 46% of 4v5s. These are all extremely impressive stats. It seems that 100Ts attack success comes from being able to play the post plant position. On top of that it seems that they are extremely comfortable by winning approximately 50% of the 4v5s which is extremely impressive. It also seems that 100T have been thriving in pistol rounds. If we look at the ghost game, it seems that 100T struggled with their post plant holds (it is important to take in mind that ghost is the best retake team). Overall 100T seemed like the most balanced attack team this split as they do not rely too heavily on one individuals performance.
Faze has been the #1 team in retakes in their group. They have also have the worst pistol win rate in their group. Another important thing to keep in mind is prior to this week, faze remained winless without babybay or dicey match mvping. It seems that babybay has been thriving on the neon role and bringing in flyuh has been a huge upgrade in firepower as well.
When taking a look at this, it seems that faze and 100t are complete opposites. This will be an extremely interesting match too. It seems that Faze relies on individual performance a lot however they have gotten better at supporting their superstarts throughout the group stage. Faze have also been extremely proficient in retakes which may be a problem for 100t. 100t was the best postplant team in their group however when faced with the best retake team in their group they struggled heavily. Faze can take advantage of this. On the other hand 100t have been good at securing pistols whereas faze had only won 23% of their pistol rounds. 100T can take huge advantage of this. Faze also seem to be good at utilizing the chamber pick with dicey in order to get first bloods on the defensive side whereas 100T seem to play a more standart defense as they dont use chamber nearly as much as other teams. The contrast in defensive style will be interesting. Also Faze's fk round turnover rate is extremely good which will be a challenge for 100t to overcome. On the attack, 100T seems to distribute the fragging equally most of the time whereas on Faze most of the picks usually come from babybay dicey or flyuh. This is another stark contrast in playstyle that will be interesting.
When looking at map pool it seems that 100t are best on split, bind, fracture and breeze. The respective win rates are 75%, 83%, 100%, and 71%.
When looking at the map pool of faze their best maps are haven, ascent, fracture, and breeze. The respective win rates are 100%, 75%, 50%, and 100%.
Faze have yet to play split and permaban bind, and 100Ts bans float between ascent and haven. Assuming that the permabans go as predicted, bind and haven are presumably out of the map pool. I would assume that faze either go to fracture or breeze as they seems extremely comforable on those maps and 100t picks split since faze have never played it this split and it seems to be 100ts comfort pick. From there on every map is fair game to be in or out of the map pool.
Overall im hyped for this matchup. Any input on this analysis would be very helpful. Also i wanted to cite my source for some of the stats. please check out @weltisgames on twitter!
In the end i think that faze could end up taking this match up due to their prowess in fragging and their agression is the perfect counter to 100ts methodical playstyle. I think that faze has improved so much over the course of the group stage and this is the perfect place to show how they can frag out but still remain fundemental. I do think if it goes to a third map that 100t have a solid chance of taking the series. Overall an amazing matchup
Discord