first point can also be said for EG.
All teams know how to counter other teams through anti stratting and I even said that so I don't understand what you mean by this second point.
They don't really anti strat and eg change everything up each time they play fracture if you ever watch them play so the amount of footage doesn't mean anything. eg are better at fracture so why would u pick the mao in which you are obviously predicted to lose whereas haven it's a question mark like you said so it's way more 50/50.