all throwing because they're all guaranteed for playoffs and the knights tournament format sucks
edit: okay i shouldn't have included guard they're in a tough situation mb
this is a link for a comment but check the whole thread
https://reddit.com/r/ValorantCompetitive/comments/12itsn5/_/jfvwgru/?context=1
M80 is 100% confirmed to qual, and I'll assume Guard qualifies as well for the sake of argument.
This post was 23 days ago, so before any split 2 matches. so:
(hypothetically)
If TT gets first place in split 2: 6 points + 25 new points = 31
DSG 2nd- 8 + 23 = 31
Faze 3rd- 9 + 19 = 28
MXM 4th- 12 + 16 = 28
TSM 5th- 14 + 14 = 28
Oxygen 6th- 14 + 13 = 27
M80- at least 31 points
Guard- at least 23 points
And assume G2 gets 12th, they'd be at 22 points, meaning top 8 would be M80, Guard, TT, DSG, FaZe, MXM, TSM, and Oxygen (HYPOTHETICALLY). G2 wouldn't have enough points to qual. Obviously some games have happened and DSG won't get 2nd, but using that post as justification to say M80, Guard, and G2 are qualified already isn't correct. That's probably why liquipedia hasn't qualified G2 and Guard yet, but M80 is. It's a lot more precise numbers, but Guard isn't confirmed and G2 DEFINITELY isn't confirmed since they're 0-2 rn.
tl;dr that post's math is wrong, assumes stuff that isn't true, i'm proving mathematically it isn't 100% confirmed