So OXG & TSM both have 13 points right now, TSM was leading OXG before MSI and had 13, but OXG went from 10 --> 13 after their 4th-place finish at the invitational.
who gets 4th seed then?
well, the rulebook states
The twelve (12) competing in Challengers will be re-seeded into three draw
groups (Pot A, B, C) for Split 2 by the metrics below:
- Pot A will be the 1st-4th place teams based on Challenger Points
from Split 1 and the Mid-Season Face-Off.
- Pot B will be the 5th-8th place teams based on Challenger Points
from Split 1 and the Mid-Season Face-Off.
- Pot C will be the 9th-12th place teams based on Challenger Points
from Split 1 and the Mid-Season Face-Off.
but, they have the same amount of challenger points ;w; and the difference between 4th and 5th seems pretty important
IE, you won't get matched with more than one team in your Pot until they hit the 3-team max of the same teams being in the same group, which won't happen most likely until Pot B, meaning if OXG gets to be 4th seed, they are guaranteed only having G2, or TGRD, or M80, only one of these three most likely, if I understand correctly.
-- my theory --
Honestly, p sure OXG will get the 4th seed because of a stronger performance recently, plus the fact that TSM only had three rounds on them coming into the MSI in terms of round differential. Accounting for MSI performance means that OXG has a -7 (-3 if you count split 1) round differential adding up all the MSI games, and TSM has a -9 (-5 if you count split 1) round differential.
They even beat them in an H2H during MSI, so pretty sure OXG should get 4th seed when seeds are re-configured for split 2, putting TSM into the less favorable Pot B. No other ties exist, so seeding otherwise should be pretty self-explanatory; this was just the singular variable (^._.^)~
TLDR: OXG should get 4th seed because of better round differential and the skuba+verno diff in their H2H game for 4th which matters because they get put into Pot A and avoid more of the scawy top 3 teams of G2, TGRD and M80.
\\ btdubs if u wanna know what these ''pots'' will look like for split 2 then, check this thread :3c ///
https://www.vlr.gg/190948/na-vcl-split-2-group-pots/#2