Here it is.
Sen has two matches left against Furia and LOUD.
They are 2-2 with 5-4 map differential.
G2 are 2-1 with 4-2 map differential.
KRU are 3-0 and 6-1 map differential.
Let's say today KRU beats Loud. That would put them in 4-0 and make them qualify almost 90%.
G2 has to lose to Lev by 2-0
That would make the table look something like this
KRU
NRG
C9
SEN (2-2) (5-4)
G2 (2-2) (4-4)
Loud on the other hand will have 0-3 making their rest of matches must wins to qualify.
Next week
EG has to lose to NRG, taking them out of the playoff picture due to ending with just 1 win.
Sen wins vs Loud 2-0 taking them to (3-2) (7-4)
This makes the third spot in Alpha wide open for grabs.
G2 wins against MIBR taking them to (3-2) (6-4)
Next
Sen has to 2-0 Furia taking them to (4-2) (9-4)
G2 has to lose to LOUD taking them to (3-3) in which case Sen qualifies due to Loud having 1 win and not meeting the criteria.
This is the easiest possible route I see. There is also the KRU loses their balls going (3-3) route but I wanna trust KRU on this. I want them to have an underdog story last year's EG.
Is this going to happen tho? I don't know. Maybe Sen lose to Loud, maybe G2 beats Lev. We never know. But this is the best possible way for them to qualify.