so as of now no team is officially eliminated but it's safe to say bleed is out of race as their remaining matches are against prx and drx.
so for alpha group -
Geng plays against zeta and rrq. Its unlikely for them to lose both games so its safe to say they'll qualify for playoffs. If they win both games 2-0 they'll get the first seed.
TS are also 2-2 atm. Them beating prx made it so doable for them to qualify for playoffs. they play against talon and dfm next. If they beat both talon and dfm 2-0 they have a chance to get the 1st seed( providing geng lose at least 1 map). If they lose both of their games they'll have to pray prx doesnt lose to GE. Losing both games won't result in disqualification but it'll end up in a tie breaker situation.
T1 needs to win both of their games against zeta and talon and hope prx doesnt lose against GE. If they win one and lose one game then they'll have to pray GE lose both of their games because if GE and T1 both win one game each it'll come down to tie breaker. If it comes to tie breaker both T1 and GE and -2 map diff atm. I'm not 100% sure but in 2way tie breaker map diff comes first then RND so T1 needs to make sure they doesn't get 0-2ed. If they lose both games its joever.
For GE, their chances are very slim compared to TS and T1 as they have to play against PRX next. Assuming they lose to prx, their best case scenario is they get one map off prx and lose with less significant margin. Then they'll have to beat dfm 2-0 and hope that T1 lose atleast one of their games. If t1 lose one game it'll be a tie breaker. If T1 loses both of their games GE will qualify.( assuming secret wins atleast one game). If secret also loses both of their games. itll be a 3 way tie breaker and GE will be at disadvantage as they're currently going -14 RND.
For bleed, they're currently -3map diff and -22 RND so for them to qualify they not only have to beat prx and drx but also have to win 2-0 and with a huge margin which is very unlikely unless bleed substitute fns for retla and he puts yay on chamber and goes 60-20 both games.
My prediction is Geng, TS and T1 qualify for playoffs.
and for omega group-
DRX are qualified and they play against bleed next so assuming they beat bleed, they'll go 5-0 and get the first seed.
PRX plays against GE and Bleed next. so for them to qualify they need to beat both these teams which im pretty sure they can so they'll go 4-1 and qualify for playoffs.
RRQ has least chances to get third spot as they play against geng next. for them to qualify they not only have to beat geng but also hope that zeta and talon lose both of their games and dfm lose atleast one of their games. also if zeta or talon win one of their game, it'll be a tie breaker and rrq are already at disadvantage of -1map diff and -7 RND so they not only have to beat geng 2-0 but also have to beat them with good margins.
zeta have positive map diff and +15 RND thanks to GE but their remaining games are against geng and T1. Winning both games secures their playoff spot. if they get one win here, they'll have higher chances than talon and rrq to qualify because of their RND and MD. if they lose both games they'll have to pray talon also loses both games and rrq and dfm lose one game for tie breaker.
Talon is 2-1 atm. they play T1 and Ts next. Win both games and qualify for playoffs(unless zeta wins both games too which is so unlikely) or win atleast one game and hope zeta lose both games or lose both games and hope zeta and rrq also lose their remaining games.
DFM plays against Secret and GE. They have to win both games as they're -2MD and -25RND. Still winning both games doesn't secures their spot unless zeta, talon and rrq loses all of their games. they not only has to win both games but also have to make sure not to drop a map against both teams. ( they need pu chan power to qualify).
If T1 and GE and bleed lose all their remaining matches, omega group teams will have a chance to qualify even if they dont qualify in their group.
My prediction for omega group is DRX PRX and talon qualify for playoffs.
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