SMB is more luckier than GAMBIT

Gambit will play with winner of the EU <Acend>
If they lose they will (probably) play with TL

SMB will play with the EU runner-up <G2>
And if they lose, they will play guild or Giants

Is this system true?

If they play guild guild is a challengers 1 team and TL is challengers 2
Also G2 and Acend has the same seed
Yes its true
Plus if Gambit cant win against TL they dont deserve Berlin anyways