TLDR: LOUD IN, LIBERTY AND TBK NEED TO WIN NEXT 2. GAMELANDERS AND VIKINGS NEED TO WIN REST OF MATCHES AND HOPE FOR POINT DIFFERENTIAL
After three weeks in a season marked with new contenders and large orgs coming to the region, this seems like the best chance for Brazil to make their deepest run in a LAN so far. For any team to go to LAN they need to get out of the group stage first. Luckily for the 12 total Vikings fans who haven't joined the LOUD bandwagon, there's still a chance for (almost) every team to make it to the playoffs.
Already Qualified:
This team will be in the playoffs, no-matter their next results.
LOUD:
Almost every Brazilian viewer knew this team would be a real contender to take the Brazil crown, but I don't think anyone thought LOUD would be this good, this soon. After storming through the open and closed qualifiers, LOUD’s momentum and dominance didn't end. In the first three weeks of group stages, LOUD has run through some of Brazil's best with a 2-0 win over Gamelanders, a 2-1 victory against a very strong Liberty and a 2-0 against TBK. After the bye, LOUD takes on a disappointing Vikings team that currently sits at 0-2. At this point, the goal of LOUD is clear: go to iceland. And this brazilian superteam seems to have all of the firepower necessary to do it.
Self Sufficient:
These teams don't need any outside help to qualify.
Havan Liberty:
After a strong 2021 season which led to a Masters 3: Berlin appearance, Liberty looks to get back to LAN after failing to reach it in the SA LCQ, and things haven't gone great. After looking like the team likely to win the group, Liberty netted a 2-0 win against Vikings, followed by a 1-2 loss against a dominant LOUD roster. While Liberty, and others, thought that LOUD wouldn't be as good as they are so quickly, they were proven wrong. Liberty currently sits at 1-1 and to qualify without assistance would need a pair of wins against Gamelanders and TBK, which is certainly doable for this strong team.
TBK Esports:
After picking up NOORG2.0 (previously paiN Gaming), a team that missed out on the SA LCQ by one spot, TBK is looking for a playoff spot to solidify them as a true T1 contender. After three weeks and two games, TBK finds themselves in a very similar spot that Liberty is currently in, beating a former top tier Brazilian team, in Gamelanders, then getting steamrolled by LOUD. All TBK needs to do to qualify without assistance is pick up a win versus Vikings, and then beat Liberty in what seems like the most important week 5 matchup, other than FURIA vs Viko Keyd.
NEEDS HELP:
Even if they win their last games, these teams aren’t guaranteed a playoff spot
Gamelanders Blue:
At the start of the 2021 season, Gamelanders looked to be one of the favorites to qualify for the first ever LAN in Iceland, finishing 2nd in Masters 1: Brazil. Since then, Gamelanders haven't reached anywhere near their original hopes or expectations, other than a semi finals placement in the SA LCQ, which wasn't enough to make it to Champions. Like many teams in the volatile Brazil region, Gamelanders replaced their entire roster, and unlike LOUD, this brand new roster has not paid out whatsoever for Gamelanders. After dropping their first two matches against LOUD and TBK, Gamelanders finally picked up their first win against Vikings, and are now sitting at 1-2. To make the playoffs, not only would Gamelanders need to win their final game against a Liberty team that just as and desperately needs this win, they would need to beat Liberty by enough to make up a 15 round point difference (+8 for Liberty and -7 for Gamelanders).
Team Vikings:
After a dominant 2021 season in which Vikings got the most circuit points in the region, leading to a Masters: Iceland berth where they finished 5-6th and earned a Champions appearance. Despite this success, Vikings replaced their entire roster, which has led to nothing but disaster for them. Vikings have started their qualifying campaign with losses against Liberty and Gamelanders, and sit at 0-2. To qualify for the playoffs, Vikings would need a win against TBK and a win against LOUD, which seems like an impossible task. If vikings were to win those games, they would then need Liberty to win both of their games, or make up a 19 point round differential.
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