Champions ACS prediction

I have predicted the ACS of every player at Champions (except Minty and Zest who probably? wont play).
I have also listed their lifetime ACS and the difference between the two. Keep in mind that there should be a lot of negatives since the level of competition will be higher.
After champions I will make another list showing how wrong I was.
A lot of these are going to be awful predictions so post which picks I will be the most wrong by.

    Player  Team  ACS   Lifetime    Difference
1   ScreaM  TL  280.0   267.8   12.2
2   TenZ    SEN 275.0   269.7   5.3
3   mwzera  KS  271.0   277.9   -6.9
4   cNed    ACE 270.0   262.2   7.8
5   heat    KS  259.0   248.4   10.6
6   Sacy    VKS 255.0   249.4   5.6
7   PTC     FS  246.0   236.0   10.0
8   zeek    ACE 245.0   230.8   14.2
9   yay     NV  245.0   240.4   4.6
10  Patiph  X10 245.0   249.4   -4.4
11  keznit  KRU 241.0   270.1   -29.1
12  nAts    GMB 240.0   230.8   9.2
13  SicK    SEN 238.0   226.4   11.6
14  sheydos GMB 235.0   232.2   2.8
15  JohnOls FS  234.0   245.6   -11.6
16  leaf    C9  233.0   245.6   -12.6
17  saadhak VKS 231.0   218.3   12.7
18  crashie NV  230.0   210.7   19.3
19  BuZz    VS  230.0   239.9   -9.9
20  Jamppi  TL  230.0   224.9   5.1
21  frz     VKS 229.0   214.0   15.0
22  xand    FUR 226.0   246.9   -20.9
23  ShahZam SEN 225.0   215.0   10.0
24  Rb      VS  225.0   232.9   -7.9
25  starxo  ACE 223.0   212.0   11.0
26  xeta    C9  223.0   198.9   24.1
27  Munchk  CR  221.0   224.1   -3.1
28  gtnziN  VKS 220.0   208.7   11.3
29  MaKo    VS  220.0   220.6   -0.6
30  dapr    SEN 219.0   201.2   17.8
31  Witz    TS  219.0   217.7   1.3
32  Nivera  TL  219.0   202.4   16.6
33  Medusa  CR  218.0   212.2   5.8
34  murizzz KS  215.0   215.3   -0.3
35  foxz    X10 215.0   220.3   -5.3
36  Chronic GMB 214.0   225.2   -11.2
37  Bazzi   CR  214.0   216.0   -2.0
38  Xeppaa  C9  214.0   225.4   -11.4
39  Nozwerr FUR 213.0   229.1   -16.1
40  DubsteP TS  211.0   238.3   -27.3
41  Derke   FNC 210.0   254.6   -44.6
42  Lakia   VS  210.0   216.7   -6.7
43  d3ffo   GMB 205.0   219.0   -14.0
44  Victor  NV  205.0   228.5   -23.5
45  Khalil  FUR 202.0   194.1   7.9
46  LAMMYS  FS  201.0   213.6   -12.6
47  stax    VS  196.0   214.7   -18.7
48  Doma    FNC 195.0   230.2   -35.2
49  Fisker  CR  195.0   237.7   -42.7
50  sScary  X10 194.0   215.3   -21.3
51  Klaus   KRU 192.0   197.2   -5.2
52  Marved  NV  190.0   206.3   -16.3
53  JessieV TS  188.0   189.9   -1.9
54  BORKUM  TS  187.0   216.4   -29.4
55  soulcas TL  187.0   201.2   -14.2
56  Quick   FUR 187.0   215.5   -28.5
57  BONECO  ACE 186.0   187.4   -1.4
58  Mazino  KRU 186.0   227.5   -41.5
59  neth    CR  184.0   217.5   -33.5
60  mitch   C9  184.0   204.4   -20.4
61  NagZ    KRU 183.0   231.6   -48.6
62  Sushibo X10 181.0   206.7   -25.7
63  sutecas VKS 180.0   187.1   -7.1
64  ChAlala FS  179.0   181.7   -2.7
65  Redgar  GMB 178.0   172.1   5.9
66  k1Ng    VS  178.0   205.8   -27.8
67  dispens TS  177.0   208.9   -31.9
68  zombs   SEN 175.0   172.1   2.9
69  SuperBu FS  175.0   185.9   -10.9
70  Boaster FNC 175.0   191.7   -16.7
71  Crws    X10 172.0   196.4   -24.4
72  vanity  C9  171.0   191.1   -20.1
73  Kiles   ACE 170.0   196.0   -26.0
74  Magnum  FNC 170.0   213.0   -43.0
75  L1NK    TL  169.0   188.3   -19.3
76  Mistic  FNC 165.0   191.8   -26.8
77  FNS     NV  165.0   181.9   -16.9
78  v1xen   KS  165.0   182.4   -17.4
79  delz1k  KRU 165.0   200.2   -35.2
80  Mazin   FUR 165.0   194.5   -29.5
81  ade     CR  160.0   178.6   -18.6
82  Jhow    KS  145.0   167.7   -22.7

Omg good list

mwzera on third and 270 acs is pretty much impossible if he is gonna be playing on initiator, pretty sure heat will get much more acs than mwzera. After all his skye in LCQ wasnt too great

Nice post my man

ciro [#3]

mwzera on third and 270 acs is pretty much impossible if he is gonna be playing on initiator, pretty sure heat will get much more acs than mwzera. After all his skye in LCQ wasnt too great

it's not confirmed mw will play initiatior

Syelf [#5]

it's not confirmed mw will play initiatior

I heard a lot of Brazilians saying that, but if there is no real source then mb

ciro [#3]

mwzera on third and 270 acs is pretty much impossible if he is gonna be playing on initiator, pretty sure heat will get much more acs than mwzera. After all his skye in LCQ wasnt too great

Yeah I haven't been keeping up with recent rumors or scrims so role swaps could very well mix this up.

Good work , did you use ML for this ?

Great list!!

• think stax and Lakia could be higher, at least 210 and 215 respectively - you're predicting a big drop with international competition but VS has been rumoured practicing 12 hours a day and could surprise us.
• I agree on Scream being 1st but the rest of the liquid roster has the potential to shock too, both Jamppi and Nivera can be star players so I would bump them up a little bit.
• Mwzera seems insane but Keyd has a rough bracket with Acend and Envy, so I'm not sure if he could attain top 3.

Finally, you clearly know this but ACS isn't the only stat that means a team will win - supporting and anchor roles might not have as high ACS but play the vital part in holding a site or delaying until the duelists can get there.

Blebonick [#9]

Great list!!

• think stax and Lakia could be higher, at least 210 and 215 respectively - you're predicting a big drop with international competition but VS has been rumoured practicing 12 hours a day and could surprise us.
• I agree on Scream being 1st but the rest of the liquid roster has the potential to shock too, both Jamppi and Nivera can be star players so I would bump them up a little bit.
• Mwzera seems insane but Keyd has a rough bracket with Acend and Envy, so I'm not sure if he could attain top 3.

Finally, you clearly know this but ACS isn't the only stat that means a team will win - supporting and anchor roles might not have as high ACS but play the vital part in holding a site or delaying until the duelists can get there.

Yeah the clutch/passive players get a bit screwed by the ACS favoring early kills so much. A lot of the ACS is also strength of schedule dependent and I think VS will face good teams and get merely average ACS in general like what happened in Masters 3.

xominousx_ [#8]

Good work , did you use ML for this ?

Um, I used Excel for the list and VLR for the lifetime stats (1550 opp rating, all time, 300 minimum rounds)

ciro [#6]

I heard a lot of Brazilians saying that, but if there is no real source then mb

from what I've been hearing, Mw will play Sova in some maps, but on Icebox, Split and probably Haven he'll play Reyna/Raze. VK are priorizing his duelists maps, but they're scrimming a lot with Mw on Sova to buff his gameplay with the agent, and from what I've know, he's doing really well.

Tenz will have over 300, he's using the 100-Type Guanyin Bodhisattva grip I taught him.

nvm

rivr [#14]

nvm

Oops excel increased the numbers when I extended the line for C9 lol.

These haven't been too bad so far. (There are a couple big yikes). I will post an analysis of how right/wrong I was for the first round of the groups after X10/NV finish.