top 20 teams

I attempted to make a worldwide mathematical ranking of teams

Rank ------ Name ------------- Elo -- unc - maps - score - oppo
1 Gambit Esports ---------- 559 - 108 - 49 - 76% - 350
2 Vision Strikers ------------ 549 - 150 - 22 - 77% - 376
3 Envy ---------------------------- 441 - 119 - 37 - 65% - 318
4 100 Thieves ---------------- 439 - 117 - 35 - 57% - 364
5 Acend ------------------------- 434 - 117 - 32 - 50% - 437
6 Sentinels -------------------- 427 - 113 - 35 - 60% - 361
7 G2 Esports ----------------- 410 - 114 - 38 - 61% - 335
8 SuperMassive Blaze -- 361 - 132 - 27 - 48% - 373
9 Team Liquid --------------- 345 - 207 - 10 - 60% - 301
10 Bren Esports ------------ 311 - 189 - 18 - 89% - 35
11 Rise -------------------------- 294 - 194 - 9 -- 44% - 328
12 TNL Esports ------------- 292 - 275 - 4 -- 50% - 347
13 XSET ------------------------ 278 - 205 - 9 -- 44% - 319
14 Natus Vincere ---------- 272 - 210 - 8 -- 38% - 338
15 Giants Gaming --------- 267 - 172 - 12 - 50% - 274
16 F4Q -------------------------- 238 - 132 - 29 - 31% - 384
17 FaZe Clan ---------------- 227 - 227 - 8 -- 38% - 318
18 Paper Rex ---------------- 225 - 142 - 26 - 50% - 231
19 Guild Esports ----------- 218 - 227 - 9 -- 56% - 192
20 Oxygen Esports ------- 195 - 229 - 7 -- 29% - 330

NOTE: the ratings are based ONLY on Berlin and Berlin qualifiers, NOT LCQ. That's why teams like Liquid are low.

Also, the rankings aren't perfect especially when datasets are small. For example, TSM probably shouldn't be in the top 20, but their only two results are a 2-1 defeat to Envy and a 2-1 defeat to Rise, so the program didn't know what to do and just put them right below rise (I manually removed teams that didn't win any matches, sorry TSM). The draw column is useless because valorant doesn't have draws (removed it nvm).

unc = uncertainty, oppo = average elo of the opponents they played

Actually cool take on ranking interesting to see too... Stats ranking wise has reasonable takes.

Krü? Giants? VK?

obviously some of the teams should be slightly shuffled, with some teams missing, but overall it's interesting that the list is relatively reasonable. neat stuff

s1nek [#3]

Krü? Giants? VK?

Giants is on there.

Kru got 23rd and VK 29th, the program really didn't like Group B apart from Envy, because none of them managed to take any maps off the top teams

Why are rise that high up when they finished 5-6th and xset that low when they had a second place in qualifiers and fourth place in Berlin qualis just barely missing out

yanir [#6]

Why are rise that high up when they finished 5-6th and xset that low when they had a second place in qualifiers and fourth place in Berlin qualis just barely missing out

it's because I only used challengers finals so XSET's win over SEN wasn't in the data, and Rise, though they did lose 2-1 to XSET, took a map off SEN and beat TSM who took a map off envy. Is it right? Nah not at all XSET is better imo but that's why it ranked them like that

if I include all of stage 3 challengers XSET moves to 9th and Rise to 17th

what does it look like with minimum of 20 maps. or even 10, there are 7 teams with fewer than 10 maps in your model

big_chungus69 [#8]

what does it look like with minimum of 20 maps. or even 10, there are 7 teams with fewer than 10 maps in your model

with 20: same top 8, then:

9. F4Q (238)
10. Paper Rex (225)
11. Kru Esports (51)
12. Crazy Raccoon (-23)
13. Vivo Keyd (-95)
14. ZETA DIVISION (-129)
    (Havan Liberty somehow didn't even play 20 maps, but they'd be last with -187)

with 10 it's basically that plus a bunch of random SEA teams since their playoffs had more maps

Cool project, I like the idea. Of course the data is skewed cus of the time frame, but you mention that already. Quite interesting.

Surely Liquid > G2 and SMB?

streamratings [#11]

Surely Liquid > G2 and SMB?

"NOTE: the ratings are based ONLY on Berlin and Berlin qualifiers, NOT LCQ. That's why teams like Liquid are low."

this list is actually decently accurate, your formula is cracked

Keep up the good work mate

crazy_igel_fan [#12]

"NOTE: the ratings are based ONLY on Berlin and Berlin qualifiers, NOT LCQ. That's why teams like Liquid are low."

mb

Lmao

This is really cool! However some of these teams don’t deserve to be as high as they are. Keep up the good work though!

Really interesting, thanks for posting this

Good work my friend

streamratings [#11]

Surely Liquid > G2 and SMB?

Smb was disbandment duration in lcq quaifiers.If they had good forms easily beat other teams.After lcq 3 players of smb does LFT.It seems they cant solve their problems.