sen chance of playoffs

using sentinelmain377's post https://www.vlr.gg/377907/sen-all-possible-groups

i will look at sens chances of making playoffs in my eyes

1. EDG vs SEN and VIT vs PRX. i think sen gets 4th and goes home. they have a mid chance tho, give it like 28%

2. EDG vs SEN and DRX vs TH. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance tho, give it like 35%

3. GENG vs SEN and VIT vs TRACE. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance, give it like 23%

4. GENG vs SEN and FPX vs TH. i think sen gets 4th and goes home. they have a low chance, give it like 7%

5. FNC vs SEN and DRX vs TRACE. i think sen gets 2nd and makes playoffs. give it like 66%

6. FNC vs SEN and FPX vs PRX. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance, give it like 25%

adding up all the chances...

4.67+5.83+3.83+1.167+11+4.167 = roughly 31% chance of playoffs

why is that so high

when u open the box 0% chance of play off

tbh, after watching drx v prx, if SEN keep their weird ahh comp, they are not making it out as 2nd for number 5

WTF? Why should we be calculating this shit?

case 5 is not 66% too high

bro sen clears edg, prx, fpx, vit, th

none of this will matter if sen bring their a game

if this calculation is based solely on the face that sen might not improve/lock in from now until seoul, then yeah i see what you’re getting at

No shot we are saying vitality and edg have higher chances to make playoffs than sentinels?

I think sen chance to make it out of group is close to 0%. they're the only team that doesn't even look good going into Champs. the worst 4th seed out of all. blg? tal omegalul n? fut? they are all easily aim diffed, strats diffed sentiluls. unfortunately, 4th seed can't face eachother in group, which make sen chance even smaller than ever because they need to face a lot of teams that are way much better than them.