sen chance of playoffs

using sentinelmain377's post https://www.vlr.gg/377907/sen-all-possible-groups

i will look at sens chances of making playoffs in my eyes

1. EDG vs SEN and VIT vs PRX. i think sen gets 4th and goes home. they have a mid chance tho, give it like 28%

2. EDG vs SEN and DRX vs TH. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance tho, give it like 35%

3. GENG vs SEN and VIT vs TRACE. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance, give it like 23%

4. GENG vs SEN and FPX vs TH. i think sen gets 4th and goes home. they have a low chance, give it like 7%

5. FNC vs SEN and DRX vs TRACE. i think sen gets 2nd and makes playoffs. give it like 66%

6. FNC vs SEN and FPX vs PRX. i think sen gets 3rd and goes home. they have a mid chance, give it like 25%

adding up all the chances...

4.67+5.83+3.83+1.167+11+4.167 = roughly 31% chance of playoffs

why is that so high

when u open the box 0% chance of play off

tbh, after watching drx v prx, if SEN keep their weird ahh comp, they are not making it out as 2nd for number 5

WTF? Why should we be calculating this shit?

Monsteiur [#4]

WTF? Why should we be calculating this shit?

im sooooooooooooo board :P

case 5 is not 66% too high

bro sen clears edg, prx, fpx, vit, th

ion2x [#7]

bro sen clears edg, prx, fpx, vit, th

you havent seen funplus phoenix reaction time test. all of them are within 25 ms of the top reaction time in all of valorant except for their igl. their igl is within 35 ms

this team is genetically gifted more than any other on earth. you will see. ZaiJian ion2x

none of this will matter if sen bring their a game

if this calculation is based solely on the face that sen might not improve/lock in from now until seoul, then yeah i see what you’re getting at

No shot we are saying vitality and edg have higher chances to make playoffs than sentinels?

Prancer [#10]

No shot we are saying vitality and edg have higher chances to make playoffs than sentinels?

no shot we arent saying that...

kanyefan4238173 [#11]

no shot we arent saying that...

Mb my dumbass thought the 4th place meant they would be placed 4th in their groups 💀

Never vlr posting ever again before taking my meds

shrike- [#9]

none of this will matter if sen bring their a game

if this calculation is based solely on the face that sen might not improve/lock in from now until seoul, then yeah i see what you’re getting at

yeah we've been hearing about "sen's a game" since their madrid run and we still haven't seen it, maybe it's time to accept that this is their normal level

uwukitten [#13]

yeah we've been hearing about "sen's a game" since their madrid run and we still haven't seen it, maybe it's time to accept that this is their normal level

maybe it is, but we’ve seen their peak and there is a non-zero chance we could see it again

I think sen chance to make it out of group is close to 0%. they're the only team that doesn't even look good going into Champs. the worst 4th seed out of all. blg? tal omegalul n? fut? they are all easily aim diffed, strats diffed sentiluls. unfortunately, 4th seed can't face eachother in group, which make sen chance even smaller than ever because they need to face a lot of teams that are way much better than them.

sussybaka [#15]

I think sen chance to make it out of group is close to 0%. they're the only team that doesn't even look good going into Champs. the worst 4th seed out of all. blg? tal omegalul n? fut? they are all easily aim diffed, strats diffed sentiluls. unfortunately, 4th seed can't face eachother in group, which make sen chance even smaller than ever because they need to face a lot of teams that are way much better than them.

i definitely fudged the numbers cause sens chances are not 31% fs

kanyefan4238173 [#8]

you havent seen funplus phoenix reaction time test. all of them are within 25 ms of the top reaction time in all of valorant except for their igl. their igl is within 35 ms

this team is genetically gifted more than any other on earth. you will see. ZaiJian ion2x

EDG looking good too. simon is great on breach

sussybaka [#15]

I think sen chance to make it out of group is close to 0%. they're the only team that doesn't even look good going into Champs. the worst 4th seed out of all. blg? tal omegalul n? fut? they are all easily aim diffed, strats diffed sentiluls. unfortunately, 4th seed can't face eachother in group, which make sen chance even smaller than ever because they need to face a lot of teams that are way much better than them.

thoughts on 100t vs kru?

ion2x [#7]

bro sen clears edg, prx, fpx, vit, th

holy bro u knew.. except for EDG and TH part

It’s mad they won it in the 7% bracket