highschool forum

#31

vreesey

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and actually, my math was correct. at this point in the tourney all teams have an even chance to make it. 12 teams = 8.33% chance per team

#33

Anoymouse

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idk if u are being serious or what. @asuna_yuki can u deal with this fraud who can't do basic math.

#35

vreesey

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ok let's try this: how many teams can win shanghai? 12

ok so if paper rex is one out of those 12 teams, what are their chances to win? 100/12=8.33

there's your answer. Khan Academy has great courses that might help you

#38

Anoymouse

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You do realize that the last place paper rex can get is 8th right?

#39

vreesey

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you don't get bonus % points for coming in 2nd-12th. it only hits if prx win. their chances of winning don't go up until teams are actually eliminated

you have to divide the % points between all possible winners, regardless of who is in playoffs or swiss stage

#40

Asuna_Yuuki

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Let me put it to you this way

There are 12 teams in shanghai

8 teams in playoffs

Maximum percent size is 100%

The playoffs teams automatically qualify

That means it is essentially an 8 team tournament for them

In 100% of possible scenarios they will only be competing with 7 other teams

That means that there are 8 total teams competing for the title

8/100 = .125 = 12.5%

#41

vreesey

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you are calculating the probability after matches have been played. each team has an even chance of winning Shanghai RIGHT NOW. regardless of format or where they are in the bracket.

every team

can win

shanghai

until

they have been eliminated.

by your math....

PRX - 12.5%
100T - 12.5%
FNC - 12.5%
EDG - 12.5%
=50%

-_-

leaving the rest of the 8 teams with a 6.25% chance

#42

Asuna_Yuuki

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Yes these percentages are correct

Odds and probability are synonymous in this context

Each team DOES NOT have an even chance of winning Shanghai

How old are you, if you don't mind me asking?

#44

vreesey

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the number of possible outcomes doesn't change just because they make playoffs. yes, when there are 8 teams left, there will be a 12.5% chance for all 8 teams, but right now there are 12 and each outcome is equally possible. and i'm not comfortable telling you my age.

#45

Asuna_Yuuki

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Hmmm...

I think you are too young to understand yet young one, but you will eventually!

For with age, comes wisdom!

#46

Anoymouse

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actually though that guy is fucking stupid. HOly shit this is what happens when u are on vlr too much.

#48

vreesey

-1

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are you retarded or just pretending? what are the chances 100T is the winning team? Well being 1 out of 12 options i would say it's 1/12.

#49

Anoymouse

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i can't dell with u

#47

vreesey

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bro literally google probability calculator i can't do this