if they continue to suck then yes, very likely. That point lead SEN had isn't even gonna matter after today cz the winners of today will be tied with them afaik
The winner of this match will have 1 more than them going into stage 2 (unless they win masters)
Personally I think SEN might bounce back and qualify for champs through getting top 3 in stage 2, but yeah they aren't as much of a lock for champs as we originally thought