Chances of making Shanghai- EMEA

#1

Asuna_Yuuki

FUT - 86%
KC - 76%
FNC - 42.7%
NaVi - 38%
TH - 38%
TL - 19.3%

Yes I used actual math and probabilities to calculate this

#2

koromast

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idk if cry or laugh at the fact bbl got out for tl, i spend all the fucking off season hyping up elite for his team to hold him back against giantx

#4

Asuna_Yuuki

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Yea BBL would've definitely had a higher chance than TL is they made it

#3

onDez

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Good calculation tbh.

#5

plane7575

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can you show the formula

#8

Asuna_Yuuki

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Quite simple really

I just looked at the bracket and had probabilities for every matchup/every team

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - (P(A)*P(B))

P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B)

For example, I thought FUT would have a 60% chance of winning their first game, and a 65% chance of winning their second game

((.6)+(.65)) - ((.6)(.65)) = .86 = 86%

#6

sad_gambit_fan

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kc honestly dont look taht good , fnatic def can beat them would say that is a 50 50 game

if fut dont make shanghai that would be a gigachoke

3rd slot should be the winner of heretics navi

#9

Asuna_Yuuki

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Problem is that FNC also have to win their first game which I gave them a 70% chance of doing

#7

TheLoque

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cursory check reveals that the number adds up... so i have to accept