alright people (SEN)

ok gg's to lev and kru. both teams looked great.

let's whittle down the SEN possibilities now? MATH MAJORS ASSEMBLE

SEN will take loud spot now. High chance for sen to qualify if they beat loud and furia

NGL there just too many possibilities right now

It’s still hard to calculate since alot of things can happen

I say dw ab it and just wait what happens in 2 weeks

they really had to choke a 10-2 -_-

Acording to my mathematical equations we could be cooked, but i still think Sen will qualify

If we win out there’s a decent chance, but after losing to EG we need some help. Another one of the teams in our group needs to lose and the other group needs to have as few 2-win teams as possible. I’d say it’s 50/50 rn

i hope i’m right but

loud, eg, mibr, furia need to lose the rest of their games
g2 also needs to lose and sen needs to win out

not impossible at all

SEN to win against loud and furia with many round diff

and we're 80% qualified
if loud lose to us they can't qualify
mibr and furia won't qualify

so it all comes down to us winning both games and nrg beating eg

then we qualify
ez

the thing im afraid is loud magically gaining their old form when they go against sen

sen is out bro

yukky [#3]

NGL there just too many possibilities right now

It’s still hard to calculate since alot of things can happen

I tried writing a python simulation but it would take too long because for each game there can be 4 possibilities, 2-0, 2-1, 0-2, 1-2 which cause the numbers to get huge really quick

I think I stopped calculating after the scenarios got to like 10k

Bald_man [#9]

SEN to win against loud and furia with many round diff

and we're 80% qualified
if loud lose to us they can't qualify
mibr and furia won't qualify

so it all comes down to us winning both games and nrg beating eg

then we qualify
ez

or nrg losing to 100T and EG would also be another option no?

You just cannot throw a 10-2 lead and expect to qualify. Time to prepare for stage 2

This isn’t exact but it’s all up to sen wining both games, Then NRG beating EG

Here is the easy math

swvyboi1 [#13]

or nrg losing to 100T and EG would also be another option no?

yes then they got 3-2 and we'd be 4-2

but g2 is a factor too
they can win 2 games(4-2) and be against us with round diff
so this is the safest option for us
since the other group only has 1 match left for eg and if sen win loud then sen takes 3rd spot in other group

1. SEN beat LOUD and FUR
2. EG and MIBR lose one match each
3. Top four from alpha advance (SEN maybe have to rely on tiebreaks)

SEN can qualify in a few ways.
SEN basically needs to win against LOUD going 4-2. G2 loses to LOUD going 3-3. NRG either beats EG (giving Alpha group 4 slots) or loses to both EG and 100T (going 3-3). In either case then, SEN qualifies. If NRG loses to EG and wins to 100T, then they are 4-2 and there is map/round diff tiebreaker.

BUT, if LOUD loses to SEN their playoff chances are done, so G2 has a much higher chance of beating LOUD. So things in Alpha are most likely coming down to map and round diff with a 4-2 tie between SEN, G2, and KRU (and possibly NRG) and two or three of these teams (if EG loses) . Impossible to predict what happens then.

Based on this, if SEN play well (2-0 both teams) I expect that their playoff chances to be relatively decent.

0fcuZ [#16]

Here is the easy math

10-2 -> 11-13 🙈😹😭😂

https://www.vlr.gg/303088/nrg-esports-vs-sentinels-champions-tour-2024-americas-kickoff-sf --> https://www.vlr.gg/312779/gen-g-vs-sentinels-champions-tour-2024-masters-madrid-gf

LMFAOOOOOO