EMEA group Alpha qualification insights

Matches left
KC — Team Heretics — 3-2 (8-5) (+13)
BBL — GX, FUT — 3-1 (6-3) (+24)
FNC — NAVI — 3-2 (6-5) (+14)
Vitality — Koi — 3-2 (6-7) (-10)
TL — M8 — 2-3 (5-7) (-21)

Note—
Q= Qualified in that scenario
?= Needs other matches to go in a certain way
X= Disqualified from playoffs

Possible outcomes for each match

1. KC vs. Team Heretics:

   • KC wins 2-0 (4-2) (10-5) Q
   • Team Heretics wins 2-0 (3-3) (8-7) ?
   • KC wins 2-1 (4-2) (10-6) Q
   • Team Heretics wins 2-1(3-3) (9-7) ?

2. BBL vs. GX:

   • BBL wins 2-0 (4-1) (8-3) Q
   • GX wins 2-0 (3-2) (6-5) ?
   • BBL wins 2-1 (4-1) (8-4) Q
   • GX wins 2-1 (3-2) (7-5) ?

3. BBL vs. FUT:
   For this match, I will consider the most probable result in the previous one which is BBL 2-1 GX

   • BBL wins 2-0 (5-1) (10-4) Q
   • FUT wins 2-0 (4-2) (8-6) Q
   • BBL wins 2-1 (5-1) (10-5) Q
   • FUT wins 2-1 (4-2) (8-7) ?

4. FNC vs. NAVI:

   • FNC wins 2-0 (4-2) (8-5) Q
   • NAVI wins 2-0 (3-3) (6-7) ?
   • FNC wins 2-1 (4-2) (8-6) Q
   • NAVI wins 2-1 (3-3) (7-7) ?

5. Vitality vs. KOI:

   • Vitality wins 2-0 (4-2) (8-7) ?
   • KOI wins 2-0 (3-3) (6-9) X
   • Vitality wins 2-1 (4-2) (8-8) ?
   • KOI wins 2-1 (3-3) (7-9) ?

6. TL vs. M8:

   • TL wins 2-0 (3-3) (7-7) ?
   • M8 wins 2-0 (2-4) (5-9) X
   • TL wins 2-1 (3-3) (7-8) X
   • M8 wins 2-1 (2-4) (5-10) X

Putting all ? in view
Liquid —
Liquid will only have a chance at the playoffs if they beat M8 2-0 and Fnatic loses to Navi 2-0 plus Vitality loses to Koi

Vitality—
Vitality will qualify if — I) FNC and TL loses and they win
II) KOI wins but FNC loses to Navi 2-0

FNC—
I) NAVI wins 2-0 but KOI also wins 2-0 making FNC qualify due to map diff
II) NAVI wins 2-1 but KOI beats VIT

BBL—
this is a bit of a question mark since I have put GX to lose to BBL 1-2. So incase that doesn't work, the equations will change a bit. But I will still follow that since that has been GX's story the whole season.
The only way BBL don't qualify is if Vitality 2-0 KOI with insane map diff and BBL loses 2-0 taking them to 8-7 map diff both and incase Vitality has more round diff, they qualify.

Karmine Corps—
If they lose to TH, they will be 3-3 and it will give chance for VIT if they beat KOI, to then take over them with a 4-2 record. The match against TH is the most important for KC this whole split.

In simpler words, every spot is open and BBL has to fuck up real bad to fumble this 🙏🏼

Forget it my bad

Bumps

i think your NAVI cases are wrong, they can't go 3-3 cause there are only 5 matches. IF NAVI win NAVI Q, not ?

all this only to get stomped at shanghai, none of them that'll be qualified WILL make it to the playoffs

Oh so either way TL is doomed

Liquid will only have a chance at the playoffs if they beat M8 2-0 and Fnatic loses to Navi 2-0 plus Vitality loses to Koi

Alr so if today BBL lose 2-0 and TL win 2-0 they are in right?