This might be hopium but I think NRG...

I think NRG could cook something up and catch loud off guard. FNS is a smart guy.

Eg still beating nrg

they can definitely beat loud, in my opinion loud is a better team than nrg but nrg has 60-70% chance of winning this match. Saadhack in a recent interview said he was hiding some tactics and strategies for tokyo so i can def see him playing normal strats and execs, something fns is great against.

Yeah, it's possible.
but Saadhak already said they are hidding strategies, so we can expect a stronger Loud in the playoffs.