TSM has the slightest and I say extremely slightest chance of making playoffs, and it requires a 4 way tie unless VCT's tiebreakers make weird sense for 3 way tiebreakers
First,
100T 2-3 (lose to NRG and GHST)
TGRD 2-3 (beat NRG)
NRG 2-3 (beat 100T and lose to TGRD)
TSM 2-3 (beat XSET)
Second, map wins are crucial
TGRD will have to make it with at least 6 wins
TSM needs 100T to get 0-2ed twice
They also need NRG to get 0-2ed by TGRD and 2-0 100T
TSM has to 2-0 Xset because if they 2-1, supposed 2-3 100T would make playoffs
Finally, with TSM supposedly happily having these results although it probably won't happen, they need to have better map differential since VCT doesn't use head to head overall through 3 way ties, looking at those APAC standings for info.
And that's how TSM makes playoffs. Way too many things to happen for them to make it.
These standings were fully based off of Map difference, if three or four way ties are based off of head to head to head record, please tell me, but based off my experience with APAC results just this past month, these are the chances.