Anguibok
Flag: France
Registered: December 21, 2022
Last post: June 1, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Posts: 279
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1000 (pot) - 400 (bet) + 719 (win) = 1319
https://www.vlr.gg/355731/bet-on-odd-part-5

posted 1 day ago

1000 (pot) - 400 (bet) + 502 (won) = 1102
https://www.vlr.gg/355731/bet-on-odd-part-5

posted 1 day ago

Poweranking :
PRX 97
GEN 83
EDG 77
FNC 70
G2 67
100T 66
TH 58
FUT 31

I am so disagree with the bot it's insane

posted 1 day ago

Smart to bet small on the upsets

posted 1 day ago

Thanks, i'll update you for the next round

You stand currently at 1179

posted 1 day ago

Their old name was Gamers 2 (Wasnt really better T.T)

posted 1 day ago

Are they bad in other place ? In LoL it's arguably the best EU team since they arrive in T1

posted 1 day ago

To be fair almost every 1st seed has loose, and FPX may have be the real seed 1

posted 1 day ago

Yeah that kinda the problem, but the problem will be solved in long term, because chinese team will continue giving their ELO to other region during international event, so in long term the mean of team ELO in China will be really low and even a team that win everything in China will not win that mush ELO, because ELO fo their competitor are low.

Remember in ELO you gain a lot against a team that have a lot of ELO, and you win barely nothing against a team that have really low ELO

posted 1 day ago

I'm considering doing it for every T1 league

posted 1 day ago

I'm sorry but on the last post I cant find your post, can you link me plz ^^ ?

posted 1 day ago

Bet on odd part 4

Following of thoose post
https://www.vlr.gg/350419/betting-contest-based-on-odd-no-money-involved/
https://www.vlr.gg/351829/bet-on-odd-part-2/ (I can’t find round 2 topic, I think it might have been deleted, if you are a vlr mod, I would love to hear what hapenned!)
https://www.vlr.gg/353031/bet-on-odd-part-3/
https://www.vlr.gg/353760/bet-on-odd-part-4
tldr ; testing a bot based on ELO, I want to see if you can beat him.
Rule is easy :
Every new player receive 1000 point at the start, you can bet 100 point maximum on each game. (Obviously no money involved, it’s just for fun)

Round 5 odding bets Odd in [], chace of win in ()  :

  • [1,72] PRX – EDG [2,40] (PRX 58%)
  • [1,51] FNC – FUT [2,97] (FNC 66%)
  • [1,85] G2 – TH [2,17] (G2 54%)
  • [1,74] GEN – 100T [2,35] (GEN 57%)

Ranking :

  • PP12123213123 1319
  • flanador 1319
  • dogexyz 1319
  • alsdhflkahflkajsdhlfhsadl 1319
  • randomperson 1319
  • Liem 1279
  • number2_cNed_fan 1145
  • kaesra 1117
  • capital_d_colon 1102
  • wykes 1043
  • scarlemange 1043
  • Dolphin 918
  • doomvor 849
  • K4ziuHa 825
  • 7whanzussjwbsysbbejskaoao 806
  • Al-Mawsil 800
  • nguyenboi 774
  • liamo 774
  • novinho_pirocudo 553

With TH defeat the bot get ruined (currently -623, was in positive before EDG loose), China being overated gonna kill the bot for this all S3 I think, but in S4 things are gonna be better because China will loose enough ELO at international game in S3 to rebalance things, so even team that rollstomp China will not have that mush ELO

Result of lasts rounds :
R1

  • [1.7] G2 - T1 [2.42] : (G2 59%, G2)
  • [1.61] FPX - FUT [2.63] : (FPX 62%)
  • [1.61] GEN - LEV [2.63] : (GEN 62%)
  • [1.48] TH - DRG [3.07] : (TH 67%)

R2

  • [1,99] G2 - TH [2,01] : (G2 50,2%)
  • [1,92] FPX - GEN [2,08] (FPX 52%)
  • [1,79] LEV - T1 [2,26] : (LEV 56%)
  • [1,53] FUT - DRG [2,88] : (FUT 65%)

R3

  • [1,66] FPX – TH [2,52] (FPX 60%)
  • [1,96] FUT – LEV [2,05] (FUT 51 %)

R4

  • [1,36] PRX – G2 [3,79] (PRX 74%)
  • [1,44] EDG – TH [3,28] (EDG 69 %)
  • [1,74] 100T – FUT [2,35] (100T 58%)
  • [1,86] FNC – GEN [2,17] (FNC 54 %)

Edit : I donno why but I put Dogexys twice x)

posted 1 day ago

yeah nice diag, now that need to be cured

posted 1 day ago

YEAH, the bot and you gets big thanks to that win.

If TH win now the bot will be ruined

posted 1 day ago

This woman is confident she will have it soon ^-^

posted 2 days ago

Nothing is more kinky that good statistics

posted 2 days ago

I make a poll contest here https://www.vlr.gg/353760/bet-on-odd-part-4/
15 ppl have votes for PRX, 1 for G2

Edit : pointing at a precise comment instead of poting at the topic

posted 2 days ago

I think I will be getting downvoted by both EMEA fans and EMEA hater. I'm I the chosen one to reunite them all ?

posted 2 days ago

In one case it's slightly attak sided, in another case it's a lot atk sided

posted 2 days ago

Going a full year of Valorant with only 2 loose sounds a little bit like a dynsaty if you take in account that at this time the game was only 3 year of proplay : 2 international event and a 2nd place kinda sounds like a dynasty and the best year anyteam have in Valorant history.

But I agree in the long term they may not be see as a dynasty

posted 2 days ago

Only region to have 3 team in top 8, we probably wont win but our prestation was decent. Our seed 3 clear AM seed 3 but get cleard by AM seed 1 so reason to be ashamed of, FNC loose a really close BO against a team that make top 2 at last event, we may get the 3 first team to get eliminated but it was decent, and maybe FNC can still take their revenge.

posted 2 days ago

"Isn't that atk sided"

Mean it's atk sided but not that mush, and your data kinda tend to prove it since we are around 51% overall

posted 2 days ago

Preview for part 5 :

  • [1,74] GEN – 100T [2,35] (GEN 57%)
  • [1,51] FNC – FUT [2.97] (GNC 66%)

you can already bet here

posted 2 days ago

"Isn't that atk sided", not "attack sided"
What is the percent of every map ?

posted 2 days ago

Except Icebox map aren't that atk sided, it's just FPX that is insanely good in atk and biasing the stats

posted 3 days ago

This is the complete tierlist with 44 teams (Yes EG is too high, and yes I consider doing a soft reset in the future if that exception happens again)
https://x.com/Megzahn/status/1795258595027861979

posted 3 days ago

So please, do your own tierlist !

posted 3 days ago

Fair I always forget that T1 sometime sounds like a team made of player that played in NA

posted 3 days ago

In EMEA everyone speak english a minimum, wish is far less the case in APAC

posted 3 days ago

Technically they have, but it's in the playin if they loose the grand final against GCCI

My dream would be they are a pre-ascention tournament at the end of split 1 that gives a direct qualifier to ascension if they win (You qualify the 2 team of MENA), and then for the real ascention you qualify the winner of every region (The 10th place, is for the Split 1 qualified)

posted 3 days ago

But they accept Saudia Arabia money ?

posted 3 days ago

I genuinely don't know, you can PM me if you dont want to say it out loud

posted 3 days ago

I don't know why APAC team nerf themself by doing not full nationality team, ok the player pool is bigger, but it's way harder to communicate, and it's not like a T2 region is dominating the other, maybe KR is a little bit higher, but that even more a nonsense to not go full KR

posted 3 days ago

Valorant player aren't the reason of the war, they are no reason to punish them like this.

And if you want to make a cis league and still sanction you can broadcast it only in Ukrainien and organize it by a Ukrainien TO (You can even organize it by US TO it would change anything since it's online)

posted 3 days ago

Sorry mate, but if I have one problem in my life it's literally because I think to mush outside the box. (quite litterally)
Nobody told me vision should be mandatory it wasn't the case since few times ago, I come to that conclusion after analysing that nerfing Raze didn't hit her pickrate but destroyed Neon (Saynig nerf Raze is killing Neon is possible only if you think outside of the box)

My point was just saying "No the first thing I would say isnt stop rush."

posted 3 days ago

Riot is hurting the whole ecosystem by not doing a Russian league.
Levant -NA top 2 is 9 CIS player (8 if you don't count Lituinia, but in LoL Baltic were put in both), Spain top 1 is full of CIS player, more we wait for a Russian team more in long terme EMEA ascention may end looking like Russian league and this is not good for anyone. (And please fuse Spain with at least Portugal, this is starting to be ridiculous with team retiring every years)

posted 3 days ago

yeah ! will China will have their revenge over TH, thats the questions !

posted 3 days ago

LoL yeah... Kinda sad

posted 3 days ago

If you ask me what is the point of a smoke would be first "a safeway to a plant"

I don't see anyway how a team could be viable without a smoker

posted 3 days ago

It's a median solution between having a full round robin, and 2022 EMEA/NA format

posted 4 days ago

Stage 2 is ending the round-robin we have start in stage one. You can still have 11 team ending in 5-5 (And even if you though it was only intragroup they could all have end 2-2)

To me stage 1 should have been intragroup for so many reason...

posted 4 days ago

Yeah OCE not having a slot is a shame, I hope one day India get big enough to be their own T1 region and OCE can take the GE slot

posted 4 days ago

So far, you bet :

  • 92% on PRX over G2
  • 67% TH over EDG
  • 92% 100T over FUT
  • 77% GEN over FNC

You guys has made your choice lul

posted 4 days ago

What ? I saw you put EDG !

I always eager to improve my lil bot, I take help with pleasure (For the moment it's just an libroffice calc I update after each game)

posted 4 days ago

What valorant map doesn't need smokes ? I really don't see a map where smoke wont be played. Same for info, info is so mush important to manage space, (in LoL ward/info is basically what make a good support).

To be fair I kinda wish they are no meta comp, if smokes would have been balanced, it would have been amazing to have team that pick their agent based on what their teamate love "Oh you prefer Astra over Omen ? Good lets go Astra then", (That wouldn't shock me if on some team they where an OTP Astra and in other on they are an OTP Omen)

posted 4 days ago

I understand you mush, but I really feel that you see Valorant with the eye of someone that have experience in classical FPS more than MOBA or hero shooter where in some game the pick can make 80% of victory, In a moba if you pick 5 assacin, you loose even if your player like their char.

I'm not saying Valorant pick is as mush important as moba pick, it's obviously not the case, but it's kinda hard to guess how mush the agent pick take a place in the victory. My actual position is this one : You need at least a smoker, and you need at least an agent that gives active vision/info (Sova, Fade, Skye, Gekko), it's usually better to have one diver (But I start thinking if Riot continue to nerf the only 2 agents, we might enter a world where no duelist are viable), If a team as one info and a smoker, i'm raising an eyebrow and give a chance to the weird comp (yes even if it's a Jett on Lotus), but if that's not the case like FUT no vision on Lotus, I will just consider the composition is not good. And I still consider those 2 criteria isn't enough, and I'm a bit laxest and need to find even more (I tend to put "having a diver" as a third criteria but with Icebox and possibly new nerf i'm not sure of that)

posted 4 days ago

To me they are something like 20 candidat to win champs T.T

posted 4 days ago

To be fair, if we replay the game 100 times FPX would probably have won 50 times

posted 4 days ago
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